2024 campaign news: Trump and GOP candidates’ final sprint to Iowa caucuses | CNN Politics

January 13 GOP primary campaign updates

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Trump is "relying on a lot more first-time caucusgoers" in Iowa, says Republican strategist.
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What we covered here

  • Countdown to the caucuses: GOP presidential candidates are racing to give their final pitch to Iowa voters with just two days until the state’s pivotal caucuses on Monday kick off the 2024 primary contests. Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis are battling to emerge as a top alternative to former President Donald Trump, who continues to dominate the GOP primary and is aiming for a definitive win in Iowa.  
  • Weather snarls campaign trail: Iowa is bracing for blizzard conditions as the mix of snow and frigid temperatures impacts campaign events. Iowa is expected to have its coldest caucuses ever on Monday, and GOP candidates worry that subzero temperatures could scramble caucus turnout.
  • What’s at stake on Monday: The outcome of the caucuses can help build or break candidates’ momentum as they vie to be the Republican party’s nominee and take on President Joe Biden in November. The results will also provide an initial moment of truth for Trump’s comeback bid and could help Republicans tired of the former president decide which of his challengers to rally behind.
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Our live coverage has ended. Read more about the 2024 campaign and lead up to the Iowa caucuses in the posts below.

Trump holds wide lead in final Des Moines Register/NBC/Mediacom Iowa Poll

The final Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll before Monday’s Iowa caucuses finds former President Donald Trump holding on to a wide lead among likely GOP caucusgoers in the state. 

Overall, 48% of likely caucusgoers say Trump would be their first choice, 20% name former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, 16% Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, with the rest of the field below 10%. Trump stood at 51% in the December DMR/NBC poll and 43% in October, with his chief rivals in the teens in both of those prior polls. 

The final Iowa Poll from the Register in 2016 found Trump with 28% support to Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s 23% with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 15%. Cruz edged Trump 28% to 24%, with Rubio at 23% in the final results from that year’s Iowa caucuses. 

 The DMR/NBC/Mediacom poll was conducted by telephone January 7-12 among a random sample of 705 likely Republican caucusgoers. Results for the full sample of likely caucusgoers has an error margin of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

Trump issues first attack on Ramaswamy, calls his campaign "deceitful"

Former President Donald Trump lashed out at GOP rival Vivek Ramaswamy on Saturday, arguing on social media that the entrepreneur is “not MAGA.”

“Vivek started his campaign as a great supporter, ‘the best President in generations,’ etc. Unfortunately, now all he does is disguise his support in the form of deceitful campaign tricks,” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Trump’s attack comes as the former president and his campaign have grown increasingly frustrated with what they claim are Ramaswamy’s disingenuous campaign tactics, Trump campaign advisers told CNN.

“Very sly, but a vote for Vivek is a vote for the ‘other side’ — don’t get duped by this. Vote for ‘TRUMP, don’t waste your vote! Vivek is not MAGA. The Biden Indictments against his Political Opponent will never be allowed in this Country, they are already beginning to fall! MAGA!!!” Trump added in his post.

Trump advisers said they haven’t seen anything in the polls to indicate that Ramaswamy was gaining on Trump in Iowa, adding that the president’s comments are solely based on Ramaswamy’s recent comments and posts.

Ramaswamy posted a photo to X on Saturday posing with supporters donning “Save Trump, vote Vivek” t-shirts, which showed a picture of Trump’s mug shot from when he was processed at the Fulton County jail in August.

Trump arrives in Iowa: "It's nasty out there"

Former President Donald Trump speaks to people as he arrives at his hotel in Des Moines, Iowa, on Saturday night.

Former President Donald Trump arrived at his hotel in Des Moines, Iowa, Saturday night and remarked on the subzero temperatures that caused him to cancel most of his campaign events this weekend.

Trump, who wasn’t wearing a tie, briefly fixed his hair after coming in from the cold before stopping to talk to some supporters in the lobby. He did not take questions from reporters.

Florida state lawmakers work the phones for DeSantis

Several Florida state lawmakers have swapped the clement climes of the Sunshine State for the polar ice cap that has settled over Iowa to lend a helping hand to their governor, Ron DeSantis, in the last hours of the Iowa caucuses campaign.

 The Florida delegation plans to work the phones all weekend — in the knowledge that many Iowans are stuck at home in historic and dangerous winter weather. Their arrival is being seen by DeSantis officials and prominent supporters as a reminder of DeSantis’ expectation-defying victories in Florida and a sign that he can defy the polls and pull off a win on Monday night.

With his campaign hanging in the balance, DeSantis seemed inspired by his visitors from back home.

“They can throw a blizzard at us and we are going to fight,” he said.

With two days until the caucuses, Haley reflects on nearly a year of campaigning

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley greets her supporters at a campaign event in Iowa City, Iowa, on January 13.

Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley on Saturday reflected on the last 11 months of campaigning, telling the crowd at the James Theater in Iowa City that she “loved every minute of it.”

In her remarks, Haley emphasized the importance of the Hawkeye State and touted her financial background, telling voters, “There is light at the end of the tunnel, and it happens when you elect an accountant to the White House.”

Among the Iowa voters who attended the event were Dennis and Monica Hinkle, who said they have been impressed with Haley’s “international experience” and plan to caucus for the first time Monday despite the frigid forecast. The couple said they aren’t too worried the weather will affect turnout at the caucuses.

“We were very surprised to see as many people here today,” Monica Hinkle said. “To me, if that’s kind of a sign, I don’t see it to be a huge issue. … So it’ll be cold, but you know, that’s why we have really big winter coats.” 

DeSantis is handed participation trophy by comedian during campaign stop

A person tries to give Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis a participation trophy during a campaign stop in Atlantic, Iowa, on January 13.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis made a brief stop in Atlantic, Iowa, alongside his wife Casey; Texas Rep. Chip Roy; Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds; and evangelical leader Bob Vander Plaats.

The restaurant where the stop took place was closed because of the weather, so the event was held in a community room in the back. McDonald’s cheeseburgers were provided for the intimate crowd.

“Thirty below, here we go,” Casey began, before she was quickly interrupted by a political comedian from the duo called “The Good Liars,” who handed DeSantis a small gold participation trophy.

“DeSantis, I want to present to you this participation trophy. Probably not gonna win the election right, but we’re proud of you trying,” he said. “He’s our little snowflake.”

DeSantis replied, “I don’t need a participation trophy.”

Watch the moment:

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The Iowa caucuses on Monday are set to be the coldest on record. Here's a look at the forecast

A person crosses a snow covered street in Des Moines, Iowa, on Friday.

Iowa will have its coldest caucuses ever on Monday, as a dangerous Arctic blast dives into the central US this weekend and last through early next week. Monday is expected to be the coldest January day for Iowa in at least five years, with wind chills as low as minus 40 Fahrenheit.

Iowans will wake up to temperatures more than 15 degrees below zero on Monday morning. Nearly the entire state will fail to climb above zero degrees Monday afternoon, the exception being the far southeastern portion of the state that may reach a degree or two above zero. This would be the first time since February 2021 that the high temperature in Des Moines fails to reach zero degrees.

Add winds to this bitter cold and the wind chill will reach life-threatening levels at minus 20 to minus 40 degrees for the entire day.

The forecast average daily temperature for Des Moines on Monday is minus 9.5 degrees, nearly 20 degrees colder than the previous coldest caucus night on January 19, 2004, when the average temperature was 9 degrees, according to CNN analysis of NWS data for Iowa caucuses. Iowa has held caucuses every four years since 1972 in either January or February.

Record-shattering cold caucuses will be in store for the rest of the state as well. Sioux City is forecast to average minus 10 degrees on Monday, more than 20 degrees colder than the 11 degree average for the caucus in 2004. Cedar Rapids is forecast to average minus 9 degrees and Davenport minus 8 degrees on Monday. Previous coldest caucuses there averaged 5.5 and 8 degrees respectively on January 24, 2000.

Haley urges Iowans to caucus amid "really cold" weather, telling voters they "might be making history"

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign event in Cedar Falls, Iowa, on January 13.

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley implored Iowans to carefully consider their choice at the Iowa caucuses on Monday night as voters brace for record low temperatures.

“Now Monday is going to be cold. Really cold. But what I’m asking is if you will take the time to not just go to the polls, take people with you. Wear layers, because you might be standing in line. Take your ID. But think of the fact that you might be making history in this moment,” Haley said during a morning speech in Cedar Falls, Iowa, according to C-SPAN video.

Haley also told the Iowa voters that it comes down to “what’s the direction that you want the country to go to.”

“You’ve got the opportunity to look back at the past and continue or go forward and start new,” she said.

The former governor also told voters that they will set the tone for the GOP primary, in contrast to her comments earlier this month saying that New Hampshire voters will correct what happens in Iowa. 

DeSantis says Trump is “phoning it in” after Trump canceled events

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis jabbed former President Donald Trump for canceling some planned campaign events in Iowa this weekend in favor of tele-rallies due to the winter storm across the state.

Speaking to reporters after a campaign event in Council Bluffs, Iowa, on Saturday, DeSantis sought to highlight his commitment to campaigning in Iowa despite the severe weather conditions and to distinguish his efforts from Trump’s.

“Donald Trump I guess has phoned it in,” DeSantis said. “He’s just gonna be hanging out in Mar-A-Lago. I’m sure it’s probably 75 degrees there.” 

Trump, meanwhile, posted on social media Saturday that he’s on his way to Iowa.

“Heading to Iowa. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!” he wrote on Truth Social. 

Trump will speak to supporters in person at a campaign event in Indianola, Iowa, on Sunday. 

DeSantis urges voters to “brave the elements” ahead of Monday’s caucuses

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks in Council Bluffs, Iowa, on January 13.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis urged supporters to brave the frigid Iowa temperatures to show up to caucus on Monday, promising to “turn this country around” if enough supporters are willing to “brave the elements.”

DeSantis postponed one event originally scheduled for Saturday and was forced to cancel multiple events on Friday due to the winter storm that landed in Iowa on Thursday. But he pledged Saturday to continue campaigning around the state in the final hours before the caucuses despite the treacherous conditions.

DeSantis was joined by several prominent Republican surrogates, including Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds and Texas Rep. Chip Roy, as he continued to attack former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and former President Donald Trump.

DeSantis characterized Haley as beholden to the priorities of wealthy donors and speculated that she would “cave” to corporate interests as president, while he touted his previous fights with corporations like Disney. And he attacked Trump on his handling of the Covid-19 pandemic as president, accusing him of “gaslighting” Iowa voters about how he had addressed the pandemic.

Trump looks past the Iowa caucuses to his legal entanglements

Former President Donald Trump attends the closing arguments of his civil fraud trial in New York on January 11.

Former President Donald Trump, who has canceled several events in Iowa because of the winter storm, is looking past the caucuses to his legal entanglements.

Trump on Friday thanked Salvatore “Sammy the Bull” Gravano, a former underboss of the Gambino family who has confessed to his involvement in 19 murders, for praising the former president’s character and said he hopes judges leading two of his legal cases sees.

“I tried a couple of times to press him and make arrangements with him,” Gravano said in a clip that Trump posted to Truth Social. “I did that with other big contractors. I had the power of the unions. I could do all kinds of little things. But I couldn’t get to him. He wouldn’t bite. He just wouldn’t bite. He didn’t want to do anything like that.”

Trump posted, along with the clip, “Thank you to Sammy the Bull. I hope Judges Engoron & Kaplan see this. We need fairness, strength and honesty in our New York Courts. We don’t have it now!”

Judge Arthur Engoron is presiding over Trump’s New York civil fraud trial, in which New York Attorney General Letitia James is seeking $370 million in damages and to bar Trump from doing business in the state. Judge Lewis Kaplan is presiding over the second E. Jean Carroll defamation trial, which is set to begin next week, and will decide how much money Trump will have to pay Carroll after the judge found Trump liable for making defamatory statements.

Iowa Poll is coming tonight at 9 p.m. ET, offering a final glimpse of the 2024 race before voting begins

The final Des Moines Register/NBC News Iowa Poll will be released at 9 p.m. ET, the newspaper said today, with the results offering one last snapshot of the Republican presidential contest before voting begins at the Iowa caucuses on Monday night.

The poll, with its storied tradition in the Iowa caucuses, will measure whether former President Donald Trump has retained his dominance in the field or whether Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has gained ground in Iowa.

The Iowa Poll will measure first and second choice for president among Trump, DeSantis and Haley, along with former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. Texas businessman Ryan Binkley, who has also campaigned extensively in Iowa, will also be included in the survey, the Register said.

The last Iowa Poll, published Dec. 11, showed that Trump held an overwhelming lead at 51%, followed by DeSantis at 19% and Haley at 16%.

The upcoming 2024 presidential primary dates to watch for

The Republican presidential candidates are all vying to take on President Joe Biden in November 2024. But first, they’re competing in the GOP primaries and caucuses, which begin in January, to emerge as the party’s nominee.

The first event of the Republican primary calendar, the Iowa caucuses. The new Democratic presidential primary calendar upends decades of tradition in which Iowa and New Hampshire were the first two states to hold nominating contests and moves up South Carolina, Nevada, Georgia and Michigan. 

Here’s a look at key dates in the primary race coming up in the first few months of the year:

January:

  • January 15: Iowa Republican presidential caucuses
  • January 23: New Hampshire presidential primary election

February:

  • February 3: South Carolina Democratic presidential primary election
  • February 6: Nevada Democratic presidential primary election
  • February 8: Nevada Republican presidential caucuses and Virgin Island Republican presidential caucuses
  • February 24: South Carolina Republican presidential primary election
  • February 27: Michigan Democratic presidential primary election

March:

  • March 2: Idaho Republican caucuses and Missouri Republican caucuses
  • March 3: Washington, DC, Republican presidential primary
  • March 4: North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses
  • March 5: Super Tuesday — states and territories holding elections include Alabama, Alaska Republican presidential primary, American Samoa Democratic presidential caucuses, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa Democratic presidential preference, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah Democratic presidential primary and Republican presidential caucuses, Vermont and Virginia

Access the full 2024 election calendar.

Analysis: Why placing 2nd in Iowa is so important

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley participate in a CNN Republican Presidential Debate at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa, on January 10.

Former President Donald Trump is undeniably the frontrunner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses. While we have not had a single poll conducted and released publicly in January, the ones from December put Trump in the strongest position of any Republican at that point before the caucuses.

This might leave you asking why we should care about either Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley given they were both more than 30 points behind Trump in those same polls. The pair will face off in a CNN debate on Wednesday night, their final chance for a breakout performance ahead of next week’s contest. (Trump, for his part, declined again to debate his opponents and will instead do a Fox News town hall.)

The reason: Iowa results do a fairly lousy job of predicting what happens in the New Hampshire primary, but Iowa could help winnow the field as well as provide a momentum driven boost heading into New Hampshire.

Let’s start with what is obvious at this point: DeSantis is not doing well in New Hampshire. The latest CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire has DeSantis down to fifth place with a mere 5% of the voter support.

It’s tough to imagine DeSantis having any real shot at the Republican presidential nomination if he came in third in Iowa and came in third or worse in New Hampshire. DeSantis’ campaign has to know that.

Keep reading more about why placing 2nd in Iowa matters.

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