The Federal Reserve is probably going to follow the lead of the Radiohead song “No Surprises.”
No alarms and no surprises, please.
Investors are expecting a quarter-point rate hike. It would be a monumental shock to Wall Street if the Fed leaves rates unchanged or boosts them by a half-point. But after today? That’s where things get interesting.
Stocks tumbled Wednesday in the hours before the Fed’s 2pm announcement. Investors may be nervous that Fed chair Jerome Powell will continue to sound “hawkish” in the press conference, meaning that he’s still leaning towards more rate hikes before pausing.
One of the reasons the market rallied so sharply in January was that inflation pressures have continued to subside, fueling hopes that the Fed might stop raising rates at some point later this year – and might even cut rates if the job market starts to cool.
The Dow tumbled more than 325 points, or 1%, in midday trading.
The S&P 500 was down 0.5%.
The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.