The Russia-Africa summit began Thursday – the first time it had been held since 2019. That year, 43 heads of African states attended the summit. But this year, only 17 have joined Russian President Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg – a sign of potential unease about aligning too closely with Russia while its war against Ukraine rages on.
As Day 2 gets underway, here’s a recap of the summit so far.
Who is attending?: Among the 17 heads of state are South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi. This is the second time Ramaphosa has visited Russia in as many months, having led an African “peace mission” to both Ukraine and Russia in June.
Ahead of the summit, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov fumed over the poor turnout, and accused the United States and its Western allies of putting “unprecedented pressure” on African countries in an attempt to derail the summit.
Although only 17 heads of state are in attendance, 49 countries have sent representatives.
Across the city, there was also a surprise sighting of Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin – not seen in Russia since his aborted mutiny last month. A photo posted by accounts associated with Wagner showed Prigozhin at the Trezzini Palace Hotel with a delegate from the Central African Republic – a country in which Wagner has had a presence for several years, as previously reported by CNN.
Who is absent?: Among those absent is Kenyan President William Ruto, whose government has been critical of Russia’s recent decision to withdraw from the Black Sea grain deal, describing the move as a “stab in the back of global food security prices.”
Kenyan opposition leader Raila Odinga also said ahead of the summit that now was not a “good time” for meetings in Russia, because of the ongoing war.
“Africa needs to take a very firm stance on this issue. It’s a question of right and wrong. Therefore, my view is that we cannot be neutral in the place of an aggression. You must take a stand one way or another,” he said.
What’s on the agenda for African representatives?: Many delegates have arrived in St. Petersburg seeking assurances of food security, after Russia allowed the Black Sea grain deal to lapse this month and began bombarding Ukraine’s ports.
Many African countries rely heavily on Russia and Ukraine for their grain imports. Between 90-100% of the wheat Somalia and Eritrea need comes from the two countries, UN data shows. The shortage of grains has worsened food insecurity on the continent and shot up food prices, according to the African Development Bank (AfDB).
Putin addressed these fears early, stressing that Russia will remain a “reliable” food supplier to Africa – and even pledging grain shipments free of charge for six countries.
African leaders are also proposing a peace plan aiming to bring an end to the war in Ukraine through negotiations, which the Kremlin said Friday it is “carefully” considering.
However, whatever the terms are of this specific initiative, they are unlikely to be acceptable to Ukraine, which has repeatedly made clear that it will not agree to any plan that forces it to cede territory to Russia.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said during the African “peace mission” in June that negotiations while “the occupier is on our land means to freeze the war, to freeze pain and suffering.”
What’s on the agenda for Putin?: Putin’s ambitions are lofty: The summit is one aspect of his strategy to create a “multipolar world” – a theme to which he has returned multiple times during his speeches at the summit so far.
In his opening remarks Thursday, Putin said that Africa will become one of Russia’s key partners “in a new multipolar world,” and said he would expedite the African Union’s bid to join the G20.
“The era of hegemony of one or more states is fading away, but not without resistance from them,” Putin said Friday, in a swipe at the United States.
Putin is also attempting to cut Ukraine out of Africa’s food supply network, so that Russia can replace it. Since withdrawing from the Black Sea grain deal, Russia has targeted Ukraine’s ports, destroying infrastructure and grain storage facilities.
“I think it’s very likely to see Russia trying to propose bilateral grain deals or even grain deals on a humanitarian basis coming directly from Russia… bypassing the UN-brokered system, leaving Ukraine out in the cold,” Cameron Hudson, an analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told CNN ahead of the summit.
Putin is expected to hold bilateral talks with a number of African leaders Friday, including Central African Republic President Faustin Archange Touadera.