CNN Projection: Democrat Josh Shapiro will win Pennsylvania governorship

2022 midterm election results

By Aditi Sangal, Adrienne Vogt, Elise Hammond, Maureen Chowdhury, Clare Foran, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Joe Ruiz and Seán Federico-OMurchú, CNN

Updated 5:55 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022
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11:20 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Josh Shapiro will win Pennsylvania governorship

From CNN’s Gregory Krieg 

Josh Shapiro addresses the media after casting his ballot in Rydal, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday.
Josh Shapiro addresses the media after casting his ballot in Rydal, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday. (Mark Makela/Getty Images)

Democratic state Attorney General Josh Shapiro will be the next governor of Pennsylvania, CNN projects, defeating far-right Republican state lawmaker Doug Mastriano. 

Shapiro’s ascent means Democrats will keep control of the state’s top job, providing a powerful check on its GOP-held state legislature, as Gov. Tom Wolf leaves office due to term limits. Shapiro is also now poised to become a leading national Democratic figure short-listed for the party’s next open presidential primary. 

Most polling of the race before Election Day showed Shapiro with a comfortable lead over Mastriano, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump shortly before the primary and chartered buses to Washington ahead of the former President’s “Stop the Steal” rally on January 6, 2021. (Mastriano says he never entered the US Capitol and has not been charged with any crimes.) 

But the Republican nominee’s support for expanded gun rights, strict anti-abortion laws and outspoken opposition to Covid-19 safety measures appeared to alienate voters in Pennsylvania’s decisive swing counties.  

Mastriano, a retired army colonel, was outpaced by Republican Senate candidate Mehmet Oz in polling throughout the general election season and Oz often made pains to distance himself from his fellow GOP nominee. 

Entering this campaign, Shapiro, who also outraised Mastriano by tens of millions of dollars, held the record for most votes won by a candidate in state history. In 2020, his 3.46 million ballots outpaced even Joe Biden, who ended up with roughly 3,000 fewer votes. 

 

11:22 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Incumbent GOP Gov. Brian Kemp will defeat Stacey Abrams in Georgia governor race

From CNN’s Dan Merica  

Governor Brian Kemp speaks at a campaign rally at the Cobb County International Airport in Kennesaw, Georgia on Monday.
Governor Brian Kemp speaks at a campaign rally at the Cobb County International Airport in Kennesaw, Georgia on Monday. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)

Republican Gov. Brian Kemp will be reelected in Georgia, CNN projects, defeating Democrat Stacey Abrams for a second time. 

Abrams has called Kemp to concede, according to a Kemp campaign source.

Kemp had been seen as the favorite in the race for months, with Abrams unable to capture the momentum she experienced in 2018 and hampered by broader voter discontent with Democratic control of Washington. 

The victory reasserts Republican control of the executive office in Georgia just two years removed from Democrats winning both of the state’s US Senate seats and President Joe Biden becoming the first Democrat to win the state since Bill Clinton in 1992. 

Abrams’ defeat is a tough blow for Democrats who have long sought to elevate her in a state that, until recently, had been dominated by Republicans. After losing to Kemp by less than two percentage points in 2018, Abrams was among the women considered to run alongside Biden. She is often touted as one of the most influential Democrats in the country, despite currently holding no public office.  

Kemp’s victory is a clear sign that economic arguments made by Republicans were more powerful in 2022 than Democrats’ focus on abortion. Abrams centered her campaign on the issue after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade over the summer. She told CNN in September that the issue was going to be “front and center in the conversation” -- specifically Kemp’s signing of a bill that bans most abortions when early cardiac activity is detected, when many women don’t yet know they’re pregnant. 

Kemp said on the campaign trail that he stood by that law, noting that it provided some exceptions. He instead spent much of his time focused on inflation, crime, and antipathy for Biden’s administration. 

“Georgians should know that my desire is to continue to help them fight through 40-year high inflation and high gas prices and other things that our Georgia families are facing right now, quite honestly, because of bad policies in Washington, DC, from President Biden and the Democrats that have complete control,” Kemp said at his first debate against Abrams. 

  

11:23 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: New Hampshire Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan will win reelection bid

From CNN’s Dan Merica

Sen. Maggie Hassan attends an election eve campaign event on November 7 in Manchester, New Hampshire.
Sen. Maggie Hassan attends an election eve campaign event on November 7 in Manchester, New Hampshire. (Scott Eisen/Getty Images)

Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan will win her bid for reelection, CNN projects, defeating Republican Don Bolduc and delivering her party a key win in its bid to keep the Senate in Democratic control.

Hassan was widely seen as one of the most vulnerable Senate Democrats in the country at the start of the year, saddled with lagging economic indicators and President Joe Biden’s sluggish approval rating.  

But the Democratic senator -- aided by Bolduc being viewed by top Republicans in Washington and New Hampshire as out of step with the Granite State -- was successful in her bid for six more years in office after winning her first term by roughly a thousand votes out of more than 700,000 cast. 

Bolduc was widely written off by local and national Republicans, many of whom viewed him with skepticism as he rose during the primary and had grave concerns about his inability to raise money. After staking far-right positions on a range of topics to defeat a series of better funded Republican candidates, Bolduc attempted to walk back those positions almost as soon as he won the primary, including repeatedly pushing falsehoods around the validity of the 2020 election.  

Even with their doubts, though, Republicans spent more than $34 million on ads between Labor Day and Election Day pushing Bolduc, a sign of how vulnerable the party saw Hassan. 

Hassan’s successful attacks on Bolduc -- and the Republican’s less than clear pushback -- did little to assuage Republican concerns, leading the National Republican Senatorial Committee and Senate Leadership Fund to cut their planned spending in the state weeks before Election Day. The National Republican Senatorial Committee returned two weeks out with a small $1 million buy. 

Like many Democrats across the country, Hassan was powered by energy around the abortion debate and used former President Donald Trump and the unfounded denial rhetoric around the 2020 election to cast Bolduc as an extremist. 

“Let’s be very clear here: Don Bolduc is an election denier,” she said at a debate. “His refusal to accept election results means he doesn’t listen to you. This allows him to support an agenda that will raise your costs and eviscerate your rights, because at the end of the day, he doesn’t think he needs to listen, or isn’t accountable to you.” 

11:23 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar will win reelection Minnesota’s 5th District  

From CNN staff

Rep. Ilhan Omar in Washington, D.C. in April.
Rep. Ilhan Omar in Washington, D.C. in April. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc/Getty Images)

Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar wins reelection bid in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District race, CNN projects.  

 

11:17 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Sen. Tammy Duckworth will win reelection in Illinois

From CNN staff

Duckworth speaks during a Get Out the Vote Rally on Monday, November. 7, in Moline, Illinois.
Duckworth speaks during a Get Out the Vote Rally on Monday, November. 7, in Moline, Illinois. (Nikos Frazier/Quad City Times/AP)

Sen. Tammy Duckworth will win reelection in Illinois, CNN projects, and defeat Republican Kathy Salvi.

When she was elected in 2016, Duckworth became the first disabled female senator. She was flying a helicopter in Iraq in 2004 when it was attacked and she lost both of her legs, and in 2018 she became the first senator to give birth while in office.

11:15 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker will win reelection in Illinois  

From CNN staff 

Pritzker speaks after winning reelection on Tuesday, November 8, in Chicago.
Pritzker speaks after winning reelection on Tuesday, November 8, in Chicago. (Nam Y. Huh/AP)

Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker will win reelection in Illinois, CNN projects.  

 

11:14 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Republican Gov. Brad Little will win reelection in Idaho 

From CNN staff 

Little speaks at an event in Boise, Idaho in May.
Little speaks at an event in Boise, Idaho in May. (Kyle Green/AP/FILE)

Republican Gov. Brad Little will win reelection in Idaho, CNN projects, and defeat Democrat Stephen Heidt. 

 

11:08 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom will win another term  

From CNN staff  

California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks at a news conference in Fullerton, California, on October 27.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks at a news conference in Fullerton, California, on October 27. (Irfan Khan/Los Angeles Times/Getty Images)

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom will win another term as California's governor, CNN projects, a year after he faced a recall election. He defeated Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle. 

The recall effort against Newsom gained momentum over the governor’s strict Covid-19 restrictions, especially when he was seen as not following them himself. In California, Democrats outnumber Republicans nearly two to one, giving Democratic candidates a huge advantage in statewide races. 

The last Republican governor of the Golden State was Arnold Schwarzenegger, who served from 2003 to 2011. 

 

11:05 p.m. ET, November 8, 2022

CNN Projection: Republican Sen. Mike Crapo will win reelection in Idaho

From CNN staff

Crapo watches returns in his suite during the Idaho Republican Party 2022 General Election Night Celebration, Tuesday, November 8, at The Grove Hotel in Boise, Idaho.
Crapo watches returns in his suite during the Idaho Republican Party 2022 General Election Night Celebration, Tuesday, November 8, at The Grove Hotel in Boise, Idaho. (Kyle Green/AP)

Longtime GOP Sen. Mike Crapo will win reelection in Idaho, CNN projects, and defeat Democrat David Roth.