Analysis: What Bakhmut means to Russia and Ukraine

May 20, 2023 Russia-Ukraine news

By Heather Chen, Andrew Raine, Adrienne Vogt, Matt Meyer and Tori B. Powell, CNN

Updated 1453 GMT (2253 HKT) May 21, 2023
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12:58 p.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Analysis: What Bakhmut means to Russia and Ukraine

From CNN's Rob Picheta and Thom Poole

A Ukrainian tank travels near Bakhmut, Ukraine, on May 12.
A Ukrainian tank travels near Bakhmut, Ukraine, on May 12. Libkos/AP

The Wagner Group's claim to have captured Bakhmut represents the rarest of things – a tangible battlefield gain for Russia after months of stasis and setbacks.

The city provides important road connections to other parts of the Donetsk region: eastward to the border with Luhansk, northwest to Sloviansk and southwest to Kostiantynivka.

But any celebrations are likely to be tempered by the manpower and resources Russia poured into capturing Bakhmut, and Ukraine's reports of continued fighting in areas immediately surrounding the city.

Taking a small city whose population has largely fled is also a long way from Russia’s original goals of capturing Kyiv and toppling the Ukrainian government.

Kyiv, too, is likely to face questions over its approach in Bakhmut. A Ukrainian defense official claimed Saturday that its forces are still clinging to a portion of the city, though she admitted the situation is "critical."

Just this week, Ukraine's military had claimed fresh advances in the area, suggesting continuing efforts in the city.

Speaking to CNN in March, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky dismissed reports of divisions among his commanders about the merits of fighting on in Bakhmut.

One of his advisers said Ukraine’s forces aimed at buying time to replenish their forces and inflicting losses on Russia.

In the interview, Zelensky warned that Russian troops would have an “open road” to capture key cities if Ukraine gave up Bakhmut, defending his decision to keep fighters there. 

Now, with a Ukrainian counteroffensive due, the question remains: Which side comes out stronger if the battle for Bakhmut has truly come to an end?

11:55 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Wagner chief claims complete capture of Bakhmut, but Ukraine says it still controls part of the city

From CNN’s Darya Tarasova, Yulia Kesaieva, Andrew Carey and Sugam Pokharel 

Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner private military group, holds a Russian flag in this image from a video released on May 20.
Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner private military group, holds a Russian flag in this image from a video released on May 20. Prigozhin's Press Service/Reuters

The chief of the Wagner private military group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, claimed Saturday that his forces have taken complete control of the long-contested city of Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine. 

“The operation to capture Bakhmut lasted 224 days,” he said in a video posted to Telegram, seeking to claim a final victory for the city.

CNN could not independently verify Prigozhin’s claim, and a message from a Ukrainian defense official partially disputed it. 

Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar, in a Telegram post less than an hour after the Russian mercenary’s claim was published, admitted the situation in Bakhmut was “critical” but said Ukrainian troops were still “holding the defense in the 'Airplane' district of the city,” which is on Bakhmut’s westernmost edge. 

“As of now, our defenders control certain industrial and infrastructure facilities in the area and the private sector,” she said.  

While Russian forces have continued their slow street-by-street advance in the city itself for many months, Ukrainian forces have recently managed to re-capture small pockets of outlying territory to the northwest and southwest of the city. 

Prigozhin claimed his forces will hand the control of Bakhmut to the Russian military on May 25.

Background on Bakhmut: The eastern city has been the focal point of a grinding battle between Ukrainian and Russia fighters.

Stark satellite photos show how much it has changed over the past year, with the city in ruins in many areas.

The city sits toward the northeast of the Donetsk region, about 13 miles from Luhansk region, and has been a target for Russian forces for months. Since last summer, the city has been a stone’s throw from the front lines, so its capture would represent a long sought-after success for Moscow’s forces – and bring some limited strategic value.

The city has important road connections to other parts of the Donetsk region: eastward to the border with Luhansk, northwest to Sloviansk and southwest to Kostiantynivka.

More from Prigozhin: In the video, the Wagner leader thanked Russian President Vladimir Putin for giving his fighters the "honor to defend our Motherland," but he also called out "the Russian bureaucracy" — as he has publicly and forcefully done in the past few months — particularly Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and chief of the Russian General Staff Gen. Valery Gerasimov.

They "turned the war into their own entertainment," he claimed. "... Because of their whims, five times more guys died."

1:00 p.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Russia warns West of “enormous risks” if Ukraine supplied with F-16 jets 

From CNN’s Darya Tarasova, Natasha Bertrand and Kevin Liptak

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko speaks in Moscow, Russia, in February.
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko speaks in Moscow, Russia, in February. Dmitry Dukhanin/Kommersant/Sipa/AP

Russia's deputy foreign minister has warned Western countries of “enormous risks for themselves" if Ukraine is provided with F-16 fighter jets, Russian state media TASS reported Saturday.

"Movement is underway on the so-called escalation ladder," Alexander Grushko was quoted as saying on the sidelines of a meeting of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy. 

"We see that the Western countries are still adhering to the escalation scenario. It involves enormous risks for themselves. In any case, this will be taken into account in all our plans, and we have all the necessary means to achieve the set goals," Grushko added.

US President Joe Biden informed G7 leaders Friday that the US will support a joint effort with allies and partners to train Ukrainian pilots on advanced aircraft, including F-16s, a senior administration official told CNN. 

Biden reversed his previous objections to providing the fighter jets because he believes in equipping the country for a long-term fight against Russia, his top national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, told reporters Saturday in Japan.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has framed his pitch for Western fighter jets as a matter of his country's survival, now more than one year since Russia launched its full-scale invasion.

8:46 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Russia hits Kyiv with its 11th airstrike this month

From CNN's Maria Kostenko in Kyiv and Duarte Mendonca in London

A residential building is seen damaged by remains of a Russian drone shot down by Ukrainian Air Defence Forces in Kyiv on Saturday.
A residential building is seen damaged by remains of a Russian drone shot down by Ukrainian Air Defence Forces in Kyiv on Saturday. Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters

Russia launched another “massive drone attack” at Kyiv during the early hours of the morning, marking their eleventh airstrike this month, the city's military administration said Saturday.

“The enemy is doing its utmost to strike key targets in Kyiv city and simultaneously deplete our air defense resources,” the local military said in a statement.

“In this way, Russians are aiming at putting the civilian population under deep psychological stress. That is why they attack Kyiv from the air almost daily,” the statement added.

The air raid alarm in the Ukrainian capital has only been silent for four days in May due to the regular attacks in the region.

Russia used 20 Iranian-made Shahed drones and one of its Merlin reconnaissance UAVs in the latest assault, according to the statement. The Ukrainian Air Force identified and destroyed all of them, the military claimed, and no one was hurt or killed.

The attack did not significantly damage any major infrastructure, the Ukrainian officials added added.

Bombardment earlier this week: Tuesday morning similarly saw an aerial attack on the city, which Russia claimed to have destroyed a US-made Patriot air defense system, despite the Ukrainian military saying all 18 Russian missiles launched were intercepted and destroyed.

Two components of a Patriot battery were damaged in the attack but the system “was never offline," according to a US official familiar with the matter.

8:16 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Zelensky thanks UK prime minister for leadership on international jet coalition

From CNN's Niamh Kennedy in London and Maria Kostenko in Kyiv

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during the G7 Summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on May 20.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during the G7 Summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on May 20. Stefan Rousseau/WPA Pool/Getty Images

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak for the leadership he says the UK has shown building an international coalition to help Ukraine procure F-16 fighter jets.  

The pair met during a bilateral meeting on Saturday in Hiroshima, Japan, during the G7 summit, according to a readout from the Ukrainian Presidency. 

Earlier this week, the UK and the Netherlands announced plans to build an "international coalition" to help Ukraine procure F-16 fighter jets "at this pivotal moment in the resistance to Putin’s invasion," a Downing Street readout said Tuesday. 

Getting hold of F-16 fighter jets has been a key focus for the Ukrainian leader of late, emphasizing in a taped address to the Copenhagen Democracy Summit on Monday that F-16s would help Ukraine in, “defending freedom.”  

On Friday, US President Joe Biden told G7 leaders that he will support the joint effort and train Ukrainian pilots on fourth generation aircrafts including F-16s, a stark turnaround from the US leader.

9:05 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Zelensky meets Indian prime minister for the first time since Russia's invasion

From CNN's Sugam Pokharel in London and Maria Kostenko in Kyiv

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shake hands during the G7 summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on May 20. 
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shake hands during the G7 summit in Hiroshima, Japan, on May 20.  Ukrainian Presidential Press Service/Handout/Reuters

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has assured his country will do “everything we can” to find a resolution to the war in Ukraine during his meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The pair met on the sidelines of the Hiroshima's G7 summit Saturday, for the the first time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year. 

"The war in Ukraine is a big issue for the whole world. It has also had many effects on the whole world. But I don't consider it to be just an issue of economy or politics. For me, it is an issue of humanity," Modi said.

“I will assure you that India and I, personally, will do everything we can to resolve it,” he added. 

Zelensky briefed Modi “in detail on the Ukrainian Peace Formula and invited India to join the implementation of this initiative,” a Ukrainian readout of the meeting said.  

The background: India has strong ties to Russia dating back to the Cold War, and remains heavily dependent on Moscow for its military equipment. More recently, the country ramped up purchases of Russian energy.

Although New Delhi has sent humanitarian aid to Ukraine throughout the course of the war, it has abstained from UN resolutions calling for its withdrawal and condemning its invasion.

Last year, Modi spoke to Putin of the need to “move onto a path of peace” during a face-to-face with the Russian leader on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Uzbekistan in September.

7:30 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Russian strikes kill 2 in Donetsk region

From CNN's Maria Kostenko in Kyiv and Duarte Mendonca in London 

A series of Russian rocket strikes across Russian-held Donetsk in eastern Ukraine on Saturday has lead to fatalities and damaged infrastructures across the region, the head of the Donetsk region military administration, Pavlo Kyrylenko said.

“Two people died in the Chasiv Yar community. One person was wounded in Toretsk, four buildings were damaged as well as an infrastructure facility,” Kyrylenko said on Telegram.

Kyrylenko added that Vuhledar was also targeted by a dozen of artillery shelling, while two buildings were damaged in Bohoyavlenka.    

The village of Poltavka was also struck by a Russian rocket attack, damaging a utility space and several buildings.   

Last week, Russia's Defense Ministry said two senior Russian military officers had been killed in the region.

To the north of Donetsk, Ukrainian counterattacks in Bakhmut are reducing Russia's offensive potential and gaining time for planned attacks, according to Ukraine's Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar.

6:36 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

Russian forces receive "backup" after explosions in Russian-occupied Mariupol, adviser says  

From CNN's Maria Kostenko in Kyiv and Duarte Mendonca in London

Russian troops in occupied Mariupol, a city in Ukraine's southeast, are receiving “backup” to strengthen their defense and help relocate military equipment after explosions at a Russian base on Friday,  according to an adviser to the elected mayor of Mariupol.

“Starting 8am there’s active relocation of helicopters from Berdiansk direction towards Mariupol along the coastline,” Petro Andriushchenko said Saturday. 

According to footage posted on social media and residents' accounts, there had been at least two explosions in the Russian-occupied city Friday evening. On the day, Andriushchenko said on Telegram that the base attacked housed around 150 troops and was primarily used for air defense support.

According to Andriushchenko, Russia activated their air defense system on Saturday morning and launched multiple rockets and the Shaheds (Iranian-made attack drones] from Yeisk and Primorsko-Akhtarsk over the coastline villages towards Zaporizhzhia.

This week marks one year since the strategic port city of Mariupol fell to Russian control.

7:02 a.m. ET, May 20, 2023

G7 leaders to support Ukraine "for as long as it takes"

From CNN's Sandi Sidhu and Simone McCarthy in Hong Kong

World leaders are seein Hiroshima on Saturday.
World leaders are seein Hiroshima on Saturday. Jonathan Ernst/Reuters

The G7 leaders have agreed to "support Ukraine for as long as it takes in the face of Russia’s illegal war of aggression," according to a joint statement Saturday.

"We commit to intensifying our diplomatic, financial, humanitarian, and military support for Ukraine, to increasing the costs to Russia and those supporting its war efforts," the group said, while affirming "unwavering support for Ukraine for as long as it takes to bring a comprehensive, just, and lasting peace."

The leaders also called on China to press Russia to "immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw its troops from Ukraine," and stop its military aggression.

"We encourage China to support a comprehensive, just and lasting peace based on territorial integrity and the principles and purposes of the UN Charter, including through its direct dialogue with Ukraine," the communiqué said.

Some context: China has sought to portray itself as a peacemaker in the conflict, but is yet to call on Russia to withdraw its troops from Ukrainian territory.

While Western leaders have hoped Chinese leader Xi Jinping might use his close rapport with Putin to end the war, analysts say that outcome is unlikely at this stage, given Beijing’s interests in maintaining its relationship with Russia.