Only a minority of Israelis think the government will complete its four-year term, an Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) poll released Thursday suggests, while a majority think that Hamas has succeeded in refocusing international attention on the Palestinian issue.
According to the survey, only about one-third of respondents think that the Israeli government will survive to the end of its four-year term. IDI found no significant difference between populations they described as Jewish Israelis and Arab Israelis, with 36% of the former group and 38% of the latter group saying the government would last its term.
Jewish Israelis identified as being politically on the Right – like Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government – are more likely than those on the left or in the center to expect the government to complete its full term, but even on the right, it’s only 44%. A quarter of Jewish Israelis (24%) in the political Center think the government will last, while one in five (19%) on the left does, the polling suggests.
The Netanyahu government took office at the end of 2022. It is very rare for an Israeli government to last its entire term without early elections being called.
The Israel Democracy Institute interviewed 755 men and women by telephone and internet between March 31 and April 3, 2024. Some 606 interviews were in Hebrew and 149 in Arabic. The margin of error on the full sample was 3.65 points.