Live primary election results: California, Iowa and New Jersey updates | CNN Politics

California, Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, South Dakota and other states hold primaries

Ron Brownstein June 7 2022 SCREENGRAB DLT
CNN analyst: Key California races demonstrate the risk to Democrats
3:16 • Source: CNN
Ron Brownstein June 7 2022 SCREENGRAB DLT
3:16

What you need to know

  • The 2022 primary season continued on Tuesday with elections in seven states: California, Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, South Dakota, New Jersey and Mississippi.
  • California held primaries for several key House races that will help determine which party controls the chamber next year. In the Los Angeles mayor’s race, CNN projects Democratic Rep. Karen Bass and real estate developer Rick Caruso will advance to a November runoff. CNN projects San Francisco’s district attorney will be recalled.
  • In Iowa, retired Navy Adm. Mike Franken will win the Democratic Senate primary, CNN projects, beating out former Rep. Abby Finkenauer, who was seen as the front-runner. Franken will take on longtime GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley in November.
  • In Montana, Trump’s former Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke is running for the new 1st Congressional District.
  • In New Mexico and South Dakota, the state’s incumbent governors will advance to the general election.

Our live coverage has ended. See results in California, Iowa, Montana, New Mexico, South Dakota, and New Jersey.

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Here are key takeaways from Tuesday's coast-to-coast primaries

Rising concerns about crime and homelessness burst to the forefront Tuesday as San Francisco voters recalled District Attorney Chesa Boudin, a progressive who had ended cash bail and sought to reduce the number of people sent to prison.

In the Los Angeles mayor’s race, where public safety concerns have also taken center stage, billionaire real estate developer Rick Caruso, a former Republican who vowed a tough-on-crime approach, is headed to a runoff against California Rep. Karen Bass.

Meanwhile, in House primaries across the country, Republicans largely opted to keep their incumbents, rejecting challenges from candidates who attempted to align themselves more closely with former President Donald Trump.

The largest state to vote Tuesday was California. But final results in many close races there won’t be known for days or weeks, because mail-in ballots — the way most votes are cast in the state — postmarked by Election Day will be counted as long as they arrive by the end of the week, and voters whose ballots encounter signature matching problems are given time to “cure” those problems.

Here are key takeaways from the day’s races:

Boudin’s loss is a mark against the progressive prosecutor movement: The recall of San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin may not have sweeping national implications —local issues and sentiments among voters differ from city to city — but the loss is a clear mark against the progressive prosecutor movement that Boudin’s 2019 win helped propel.

And it could serve as a warning to national Democrats that the way voters in liberal bastions feel about their cities — especially the rise of homelessness — is far more instructive to how they will vote than actual crime rates and data.

Boudin’s win three years ago, on the back of concerns over police misconduct, criminal justice reform and mass incarceration, signaled a high point for the movement to elect more progressive prosecutors to top jobs. But his tenure was defined by the coronavirus pandemic and an overwhelming sense among San Francisco residents that crime, especially property crime, was both not a priority for the district attorney and out of control.

Voters on Tuesday leveled swift judgment of Boudin, signaling that his laxer approach to certain kinds of crime was unacceptable.

Still, the loss is far from the end to liberal cities electing progressive prosecutors. Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner won reelection and Alvin Bragg, a former New York state and federal prosecutor, became Manhattan district attorney in 2021 – both wins for the progressive prosecutor movement.

Republican incumbents mostly survive challenges from right: House Republicans who had faced primaries from the right — largely from challengers who alleged the incumbents weren’t supportive enough of Trump — either won or were positioned to survive Tuesday’s contests.

South Dakota Rep. Dusty Johnson fended off a challenge from state Rep. Taffy Howard, who had criticized his vote to certify the 2020 election and had embraced Trump’s lies about voter fraud. New Jersey Rep. Chris Smith, a moderate Republican who voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill, held off a group of challengers that included conservative talk radio host Mike Crispi, who was backed by Trump allies including Roger Stone and Rudy Giuliani.

In California’s open primaries, in which the top two finishers regardless of party move on to November’s general election, Reps. David Valadao and Young Kim — two Republicans who have won tough races — were both in position to advance after challenges from Trump loyalists, though there are still more votes to count.

One race to watch is a House primary in Montana. Ryan Zinke, a former congressman who resigned for a scandal-plagued tenure as Trump’s interior secretary and faced questions about his residency, narrowly led former state Sen. Al Olszewski as ballots were being counted early Wednesday morning.

Los Angeles mayoral race advances to runoff: The race to be Los Angeles’ next mayor won’t be decided until November, with neither businessman Rick Caruso nor Rep. Karen Bass able to win more than 50% of the vote on Tuesday night.

Caruso and Bass both ran on the need to tackle homelessness and crime, but they approached the issues with markedly different solutions and styles, distinctions that will likely define their campaigns through November.

Caruso, a real estate developer who has worked for years to accrue private power in Los Angeles, argued the city was in “a state of emergency,” citing “rampant homelessness” and “people living in fear for their safety.” Caruso promised to increase the size of the Los Angeles Police Department, running against the “defund the police” effort.

Bass, a longtime congresswoman and former member of the California State Assembly, ran more as a progressive, highlighting her ties to the city and her years of service representing it.

But Caruso’s strong showing on Tuesday will provide a warning to more traditional Democrats running on their records, especially if the bulk of that time was spent in Congress, a body currently held in low regard by Democrats and Republicans alike.

Keep reading takeaways below:

A voter fills out his ballot in a polling station at San Francisco City Hall on June 7, 2022 in San Francisco. California.

Related article 6 takeaways from Tuesday's primaries

CNN Projection: Karen Bass and Rick Caruso advance in Los Angeles mayoral race

Rick Caruso and Karen Bass will face off in a runoff election to be Los Angeles' next mayor.

Democratic Rep. Karen Bass and real estate developer Rick Caruso will advance to a November election in the Los Angeles mayoral race, CNN projects, in a contest that has been shaped by issues of crime and homelessness.

Either candidate could have avoided the runoff by winning a majority of the vote in Tuesday’s nonpartisan race to succeed term-limited Mayor Eric Garcetti. But since no one took a majority, Bass and Caruso, the top two finishers, will face off in the fall.

If elected, Bass would be the first woman and the first Black woman to lead America’s second-largest city.

Bass served in the California State Assembly prior to her time in Congress. In 2008, she made history as the first Black woman to serve as speaker of a state legislature, according to her congressional biography.

The six-term congresswoman currently represents California’s 37th District. She has championed efforts to shape public policy in areas like child welfare, foster care and prison reform. She chaired the Congressional Black Caucus for two years and helped to lead policing overhaul efforts after the deaths of Breonna Taylor and George Floyd in 2020.

The longtime lawmaker was one of several contenders on President Biden’s running mate short list during the 2020 campaign. Though Biden ultimately selected Kamala Harris as his vice president, his consideration of Bass threw her name into the national spotlight. Bass earned the endorsement of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, another California Democrat, in the mayoral race.

In her campaign for mayor, Bass has forged a coalition of White progressives and Black voters and has sought to expand on that by engaging Latino voters and other groups across Los Angeles. She’s emphasized the depth of her policy experience and her reputation as collaborative listener and legislator.

She’s highlighted her early work as a physician assistant in the emergency room and her experience bringing together Black and Latino community organizers in South LA in the early 1990s to address the root causes of crime and the crack epidemic through the nonprofit she founded, Community Coalition. She has also pointed to her role as a dealmaker when she led the California State Assembly after the 2008 financial crisis – making budget decisions that earned her a John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award in 2010.

Caruso, a Republican-turned-Democrat and shopping mall magnate, has built a platform promising to deal with the city’s rise in crime and its staggering homelessness crisis.

He is also a former city police commissioner and the former head of the USC Board of Trustees. He’s long eyed the mayor’s race, all while donating generously to both Republicans and Democrats. But he is best known for the meticulously groomed, open-air malls that he has built in Los Angeles that are awash in 1950s Americana, with splashing fountains, trolley cars, valet parking and a seemingly unending loop of Frank Sinatra.

Caruso, who campaigned on his outsider status and has spent more than $40 million in the race, had been accused by Bass and other rivals of trying to “buy” the office.

“I don’t care how much money you spend, it’s the power of the people that wins,” Bass said through a megaphone during one of her campaign stops Tuesday evening.

CNN Projection: Connie Conway wins special election to succeed Devin Nunes in California's 22nd District 

Republican Connie Conway will win a special general election for California’s 22nd Congressional District, CNN projects. She will serve out the remaining term of former GOP Rep. Devin Nunes, who resigned in January to head the Trump Media & Technology Group.

Conway, a former GOP leader of the California State Assembly, was facing off against Democrat Lourin Hubbard, who works for California’s Department of Water Resources.

The two candidates competed in a six-way primary in April to fill the vacant seat in a district covering portions of Fresno and Tulare counties, from Clovis to areas south of Visalia. Conway led in the vote count in April, but no candidate received more than 50% of the vote to win the seat outright.

The 22nd Congressional District was dismantled by the state’s nonpartisan redistricting commission. Most of the district will now be split between the new 20th and 21st districts. Conway will serve in office through January, when the district will cease to exist after the new Congress is sworn in.

CNN’s Maeve Reston contributed reporting to this post.

Boudin's ouster: National message or a San Francisco story?

San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin speaks to supporters at an election-night event on Tuesday.

The successful recall of San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin on Tuesday has already led some pundits to declare the demise of the “progressive prosecutor.”

But a look around the country — and closer probe of San Francisco’s particular issues — tells a more complicated story.

What’s clear is that Boudin was soundly rejected by his constituents. What’s less certain, or simple to explain, is why. Boudin had powerful, moneyed opponents aligned against him, for sure, but progressive candidates have overcome those hurdles in a series of races this primary season. More problematic for Boudin, though, was his poor standing with voters in San Francisco, who recently recalled three school board members, and a general discontent, not unlike what we’ve seen in other typically liberal cities, with overlapping issues of crime, homelessness and the cost of living.

Boudin didn’t do himself too many favors in trying to assuage some very real concerns with his performance in office, but an early scan of the incoming results shows a divide between younger voters and older, wealthier ones.

Looking outside the city, and around the country, the prospects for fellow progressive-prosecutor types still look promising.

As recently as last fall, Alvin Bragg won the district attorney race in Manhattan — in the same cycle that saw New Yorkers elect Eric Adams as mayor. In Philadelphia, District Attorney Larry Krasner easily won reelection despite an ultimately overblown backlash to his policies. And in the Chicago area, Cook County State’s Attorney Kim Foxx won a second term in 2020.

Boudin’s ouster is certainly a blow to the movement he, at least for the moment, has come to represent. But the implications for the future are more difficult to nail down — especially if the headline issues that fueled the discontent around him don’t end along with his time in office.

Bass and Caruso are leading in the LA mayoral race. Here are key things to know about the candidates.

Rick Caruso and Rep. Karen Bass are running for mayor in Los Angeles.

Six-term US Rep. Karen Bass was once viewed as the front-runner in the Los Angeles mayoral contest, but she has faced an unexpectedly strong challenge from billionaire shopping mall magnate Rick Caruso, a former Republican.

CNN is yet to make a projection in the contest, but Bass and Caruso are leading the 12-candidate field.

The two mayoral hopefuls headed into Tuesday’s primary as the likely top-two vote getters, who would advance to the November ballot if no candidate won a majority of the vote outright.

If elected, Bass would be the first woman and the first Black woman to lead America’s second-largest city. Once a teen activist, Bass served in the California State Assembly prior to her time in Congress. In 2008, she made history as the first Black woman to serve as speaker of a state legislature, according to her congressional biography.

The congresswoman currently represents California’s 37th District. She has championed efforts to shape public policy in areas such as child welfare, foster care and prison reform. She chaired the Congressional Black Caucus for two years and helped to lead policing overhaul efforts after the deaths of Breonna Taylor and George Floyd in 2020.

Spending more than $40 million in the race, Caruso has argued that city leaders have failed to keep voters safe and protect their quality of life. Tents have proliferated across Los Angeles, taking over parks, sidewalks and public spaces as the city has struggled to house some 41,000 people who need shelter.

While Bass says she would return the Los Angeles Police Department to its authorized force of 9,700 officers — in part by hiring more civilians to free up 250 officers to return to street patrol — Caruso has promised to hire 1,500 additional officers and to bring on some 500 sanitation workers to clean up the streets.

CNN Projection: Democratic Rep. Katie Porter and Republican Scott Baugh advance to general election in California

US Rep. Katie Porter will face Scott Baugh in November's election. 

Democratic Rep. Katie Porter, who has earned national attention for her forceful interrogations of corporate and oil executives in congressional hearings, will face Republican Scott Baugh in the general election for California’s new 47th District, CNN projects.

While the district leans Democratic, this year’s unpredictable political climate has made Porter a GOP target.

Baugh, the former GOP leader of the California State Assembly and a former chairman of the Orange County Republican Party, has highlighted the toll of rising crime and higher gas and grocery prices in his campaign. He has the backing of House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and was named to the National Republican Congressional Committee’s “Young Guns” program for promising recruits.

History-making Republican tries to stave off a challenge from her right in California

US Rep. Young Kim hosts a task force on human trafficking at her Orange County office in Placentia, California, in March.

California Rep. Young Kim was heralded as a face of the new GOP when she made history in 2020 as one of the first Korean American women elected to Congress.

Kim narrowly unseated Democratic Rep. Gil Cisneros in a Southern California district in 2020, two years after losing to him in her first attempt. It initially looked like Kim would have an easier race this year when she decided to run in the redrawn 40th District, which is far more favorable to the GOP. But Kim is new to many voters in the new district – which encompasses parts of Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties – and she had to contend with a challenge from the right Tuesday in the “top-two” primary. 

Kim, who was born in South Korea but grew up in Guam, settled in Los Angeles after earning an MBA. She previously told CNN she gravitated toward the Republican Party while studying accounting at the University of Southern California in 1984 during the Reagan administration, when his tax cuts were moving through Congress.

In 1990, Kim got a job with then-California state Sen. Ed Royce and stayed with him when he was elected to Congress. It also served as a training ground – she now holds Royce’s congressional seat.

“Being able to work with him for about 21 years in Congress, I always thought, ‘OK, at least I know a little bit about how Congress works. Maybe I can get myself here,’” she said.

Correction: An earlier version of this post misstated the first name of former Rep. Gil Cisneros.

CNN Projection: San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin will be recalled

San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin ponders a reporter's question last month.

San Francisco voters have recalled District Attorney Chesa Boudin, CNN projects.

Boudin was narrowly swept into office in 2019, amid voters’ concerns over police misconduct, criminal justice reform and mass incarceration in the city. His win was seen as a high point for the movement to elect more progressive prosecutors. 

But his tenure was defined by the coronavirus pandemic and an overwhelming sense among San Francisco residents that crime, especially property crime, was both out of control and not a priority for the district attorney. This caused the political winds to shift dramatically against Boudin, with most San Francisco residents signaling on Tuesday that his laxer approach to certain kinds of crime was unacceptable.

The recall was also much about the impressions people in San Francisco have of their own city as it was about crime rates. Homelessness and public drug use remain a persistent issue in the city, and residents have reported feeling uncomfortable in large swaths of commercial areas because of it.

Boudin sought to fight the recall effort by labeling it a natural reaction to the election of a progressive prosecutor and linking the effort to Republicans and police unions.

But those claims didn’t move voters, many of whom said they had made their minds up based on how they felt in their city. And while Republican money did help the effort, the push to recall Boudin was initially supported by Democrats.

The result in San Francisco will have national implications, too, underscoring just how risky it will be for Democrats to go too far on certain core issues such as combatting crime.

San Francisco Mayor London Breed is now set to appoint an interim district attorney.  

CNN Projection: Alex Padilla makes the ballot for both special and general elections in California

Alex Padilla was appointed by Gov. Gavin Newsom to replace Kamala Harris after she became vice pres

Democratic Sen. Alex Padilla of California will advance to the special general election for the remainder of Vice President Kamala Harris’ term, CNN projects. CNN also projects that he will make the ballot for the regular general election in November for the full six-year term that starts in January.

Padilla was appointed by California Gov. Gavin Newsom in 2021 to the seat Harris vacated when she became vice president.

CNN Projection: California Gov. Gavin Newsom will advance to general election

California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks at a news conference in Sacramento last month.

Incumbent Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom of California will advance to the general election, CNN projects.

Newsom, who comfortably beat back an attempt to recall him last year, is seeking a second term.

Crime is on the ballot in California. CNN analyst explains why it's a challenge for Democrats.

Concerns about crime and homelessness are on display in two of the biggest Democratic cities in California as voters cast their ballots in the primary election on Tuesday.

Ron Brownstein, CNN senior political analyst, said the issues of safety are sending “shockwaves” through the political landscape — both narrowly in local elections and more broadly as Democrats fight for control in Congress in November.

Brownstein said it also shows the challenges Democrats face as a party “when people feel certainty is withdrawn from their life.”

“When you are the party in power and people feel like they can’t count on basic rules of, kind of, you know, daily life — from the price of gas to the ability to walk their kids to school without being accosted by someone who seems like a danger to themselves or to others, that I think is a very dangerous position for the party in power,” he said.

Real estate developer Rick Caruso and US Rep. Karen Bass have emerged as the frontrunners in the race for Los Angeles mayor to succeed term-limited Democrat Eric Garcetti. Caruso has made crime a focus of his campaign.

Caruso, who served as a former city police commissioner, has poured millions of his own money into the race, pledging to tackle corruption, and homelessness and address the city’s crime rate by increasing the size of the police force. In a television ad, the former Republican said he was running “because the city we love is in a state of emergency,” citing “rampant homelessness” and “people living in fear for their safety.”

In San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin is facing a recall election. He facescriticism that his progressive prosecutor model has made the city less safe.

A number of high-profile, viral shoplifting incidents, rancor in Boudin’s office and a broader, national pushback against his style of law enforcement — which prioritizes rehabilitation over the “tough on crime” approach — is putting Boudin’s fate in doubt.

CNN’s Eric Bradner, Dan Merica and Gregory Krieg contributed reporting to this post.

CNN Projection: Rep. Steven Palazzo will advance to a runoff in Mississippi GOP primary 

US Rep. Steven Palazzo gives a television interview in Washington in 2019.

Mississippi Rep. Steven Palazzo is headed to a Republican primary runoff, CNN projects, putting the incumbent in danger of losing his seat amid a series of ethics controversies. The second spot in the runoff is too early to call.

Palazzo is on track to collect the most votes in a seven-candidate field, but fell significantly short of the majority needed to clinch the nomination, setting up a one-on-one race against one of his fellow candidates on June 28.  

A military veteran, Palazzo was first elected during the tea party wave of 2010. But a report last year from the Office of Congressional Ethics last year found “substantial” evidence he used campaign and congressional funds for personal use, sent staff on personal errands and sought to wield his official power to help his brother reenlist in the Navy.

The report was taken up for review by the House Ethics Committee. 

Palazzo has denied any wrongdoing, but his political vulnerabilities stretched beyond ethics concerns – and made him a prime target for a primary challenge from a number of well-known figures in the Gulf Coast district.

Despite railing against proxy-voting and joining a lawsuit against House Speaker Nancy Pelosi trying to end the practice, Palazzo has frequently taken advantage of the option – leading to charges of hypocrisy from his primary rivals that had already pounced on old nickname coined by some early critics: “No-Show Palazzo.”

Palazzo didn’t help his own case when he skipped out of a candidate forum in May, citing “meetings dealing with national security,” only to post pictures online of him and his son eating at a local restaurant during the event.     

Polls are closing across California

It’s 11 p.m. ET, and polls are closing across California.

Here are some of the key races voters are weighing in on:

  • Los Angeles mayor: Real estate developer Rick Caruso and US Rep. Karen Basshave emerged as the frontrunners in the race to succeed term-limited Democratic Mayor Eric Garcetti. Caruso has made crime and homelessness in the city a focus of his campaign. If no one wins the majority vote, the top two candidates will advance to a November runoff.
  • San Francisco attorney general: District Attorney Chesa Boudin is facing a recall election. If a majority of voters support the recall, Mayor London Breed would appoint an interim district attorney.
  • Senate: Democratic Sen. Alex Padilla, whom California Gov. Gavin Newsom appointed to now-Vice President Kamala Harris’ seat last year, is running for a full term as well as in a special election for the remainder of Harris’ term.
  • 22nd Congressional District: There is a special general election to replace former GOP Rep. Devin Nunes. But, the person who wins won’t hold the seat long. Because of redistricting, the 22nd district will cease to exist in its current form when the new Congress is sworn in next year.
  • Other competitive House seats: California’s new congressional map offers both Democrats and Republicans opportunities to pick up seats. Read more about the races to watch here.

CNN Projection: Weatherman Mark Ronchetti will win New Mexico Republican nomination for governor

Republican Mark Ronchetti will win the New Mexico Republican nomination for governor, CNN projects.

Ronchetti, a former weatherman who was the Republican nominee for a US Senate seat in New Mexico in 2020, beat a field of three other contenders vying for the nomination, following the New Mexico Republican party’s pre-primary convention in February.

State Rep. Rebecca Dow, US Army veteran and financial advisor Gregory Zanetti and retired USAF reserve member and Sandoval County Commissioner Jay Block also ran for the GOP nomination.

Ronchetti held a steady fundraising advantage over the other GOP candidates throughout the race, according to local news

He will face incumbent Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham in the November general election. Republicans view the race as an opportunity to pick up a governor’s seat in a key border state, where immigration is an important issue. 

Lujan Grisham, for her part, became the first Democratic Latina to be elected governor in the US in 2018 and ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination this year.

The Republican Governor’s Association has slammed Lujan Grisham over her response to the situation at the US southern border as well as high inflation and Covid-19. Republicans have also attacked Lujan Grisham for controversy during her first term in office. 

Ronchetti has prioritized border security and crime while running for the GOP nomination.

During his primary campaign, he criticized Lujan Grisham for her stance on the oil and gas industries as well as her spending practices as governor and response to inflation and crime.

CNN Projection: GOP Rep. Chris Smith wins renomination in New Jersey 4th Congressional District

US Rep. Chris Smith speaks during a committee hearing last year in Washington.

New Jersey Rep. Chris Smith, the longest-serving member of the state delegation, will win the GOP nomination in the 4th Congressional District, CNN projects. 

Smith, who was first elected in 1980, fended off an array of primary challengers, including conservative talk radio host Mike Crispi, who was endorsed by Trump allies such as Roger Stone and Rudy Guiliani, and former FBI agent Steve Gray. Both had sought to cast the veteran incumbent as too moderate

Smith was one of the few Republicans to vote for President Biden’s infrastructure bill. He is also the co-chair of the Congressional Pro-Life Caucus.

Progressives get brushed back in New Jersey

Progressives didn’t invest much in the New Jersey House primaries, but that didn’t mean they weren’t paying attention to Tuesday night’s results.

Results from the 10th Congressional District, where Imani Oakley, the former New Jersey Working Families legislative director, challenged Rep. Donald Payne Jr., were of particular interest. A strong showing from Oakley might have set the stage for another, better-funded and organized effort to oust Payne in two years.

But Payne, a five-term incumbent who took over the seat from his late father, raced out to an early lead and comfortably clinched the nomination.

A new PAC, Team Blue, co-chaired by Reps. Hakeem Jeffries of New York, Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, Terri Sewell of Alabama and Cheri Bustos of Illinois, was also paying close attention. Before polls closed on Tuesday, they put out a statement reiterating their support for Payne – with a jab at the left for good measure.

“Rep. Payne, a proven progressive, is facing a primary challenge from the extreme left, mirroring the recent, failed effort to take down Rep. Shontel Brown in Ohio,” the co-chairs said.

Oakley, in a statement, ripped the party establishment in New Jersey’s over what she described as “dirty tricks” and lamented the continued influence of “our state’s corrupt political machine,” but vowed to continue her fight.

Whether national progressives will be there to back her is another question. The larger local progressive organizations, including the New Jersey WFP, almost unanimously backed Payne.

Results from the Garden State’s 8th Congressional District, where Rep. Albio Spires retired to make way for Robert Menendez Jr., son of New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez, were also dispiriting for progressives. Menendez Jr. has never held office, but quickly secured key endorsements in a district that might have otherwise invited a competitive contest. 

Menendez Jr. ultimately faced two other candidates, including progressive David Ocampo Garajales, who looks unlikely to crack 15% of the vote.

Signs of low turnout in California and New Jersey primaries present warning for Democrats

Robert Macias marks his ballot in Sacramento, California, on Tuesday.

Democrats faced fresh warning signs Tuesday night in two blue states at a moment when they are trying to get their base voters energized and primed for an intensely competitive election year.

Voter disengagement was most evident in California, where nearly 22 million ballots were mailed out to every eligible voter. Only about 18% of ballots had been returned as of Tuesday even though they were mailed to voters weeks ago, according to ballot tracking data from the California-based firm Political Data Intelligence. This comes despite an array of competitive House races — where the top two vote-getters regardless of party will advance to the general election — and several marquee local contests, including the race for mayor in Los Angeles and an attempted recall of San Francisco’s district attorney.

In New Jersey, few of the state’s voters opted to cast their ballots in the three-day window for in-person early voting, but Secretary of State Tahesha Way noted in an interview with ABC News that the process is new, meaning it could take some time for voters to take advantage of it. Those early indicators, however, stand in sharp contrast with the high turnout during early voting in states like Georgia, where a more restrictive new voting law led activists to redouble their efforts to get voters to cast their ballots ahead of the primary.

The May calendar was dominated by big US Senate contests where former President Donald Trump’s influence was repeatedly tested. But now the focus shifts to these competitive House races that will offer a window into how much voters intend to blame the party in power for their current unease about the state of the economy and the country.

Those dynamics are most apparent in California, where Democrats currently hold all the statewide offices and dominate the congressional delegation. The new map that was drawn by the state’s nonpartisan redistricting commission last year yielded as many as ten competitive House races in California, where Democrats were bullish about the potential for pickups.

But Golden State voters are contending with the highest gas prices in the nation and unnerved by the spike in violent crime, as well as a crushing homelessness crisis that many say seems to be worsening, even though billions of dollars are flowing to build housing for those living on the streets. All those issues have surfaced in the close races in the state, emboldening Republicans who are advancing the notion that things are spiraling out of control.

Read more here.

CNN Projection: Mike Franken will win Iowa Democratic Senate primary

Mike Franken salutes before speaking at the Iowa Democratic Party's Liberty and Justice Celebration in April.

Retired Navy Adm. Mike Franken will win Iowa’s Democratic Senate primary, CNN projects, upsetting former Rep. Abby Finkenauer, a Democrat who was widely seen as the frontrunner in the race.

The loss is an embarrassment for Finkenauer, a Democrat who was seen as a rising star in the party in 2018 after she unseated a Republican incumbent in a district former President Donald Trump had won just two years earlier. Her time in Washington was short, however: Finkenauer went on to lose her bid for reelection in 2020 to Republican Ashley Hinson as Trump, again, won her district.

Finkenauer’s campaign was a rocky affair. After cutting it close on the number of signatures her campaign submitted to get her on the ballot and a subsequent complaint challenging the validity of some of those signatures, the Democrat’s campaign only qualified for the ballot after the Iowa Supreme Court ruled in April that she could appear after a lower court had ruled she had not qualified. 

Franken, a 64-year-old who spent nearly four decades in the military, ran as someone best positioned to protect the country at a time of instability, pointing to the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the US Capitol as the reason he decided to run for the Senate. This is Franken’s second bid: he unsuccessfully ran in the Democratic Senate primary in 2020, vying for the chance to take on Iowa’s other Republican senator, Joni Ernst.

Franken will now face Sen. Chuck Grassley, a Republican who began his career in politics in 1959 and was first elected to the Senate in 1980. After stewing over whether he would run for reelection, Grassley, now 88, announced last year that he would seek an eighth term in the Senate.

The November election: Grassley is widely seen as the favorite in the general election, given both his stature in the state and the way Iowa has moved away from Democrats in recent years. Trump won the state by nearly 10 points in 2016 and carried it again by roughly 8 points in 2020. Rep. Cindy Axne, who represents Des Moines and much of Southwest Iowa, is the lone Democrat in the state’s congressional delegation.

Even though Iowa Democrats have not been in the wilderness for that long — former President Barack Obama won the state in 2008 and 2012 and after the 2018 midterms, Democrats controlled three of the state’s four house seats — but Grassley’s decision to run for reelection largely dashed any hopes Democrats had in investing in the race.

The loss is also a blow to a Democrat with deep ties to President Biden. Finkenauer worked for Biden’s 2008 presidential campaign in Iowa, and he traveled to the state in 2018 to support her congressional campaign. Finkenauer was also a highly sought-after endorsement during the Democratic presidential primary in 2020, but eventually backed Biden’s successful bid for the White House.

The polls are closing in Montana

It’s 10 p.m. ET, and the polls are closing in Montana.

Montana is hosting two US House races for the first time in decades after the state gained a second seat in reapportionment following the 2020 census. The newly drawn district favors Republicans.

Ryan Zinke, the former interior secretary under former President Donald Trump, is running for that new seat, covering the western part of the state.

Former state Sen. Al Olszewski is staging the most serious challenge to Zinke’s bid but has raised just a fraction of the campaign cash haul that Zinke’s brought in. 

CNN Projection: Kristi Noem will win South Dakota Republican governor primary

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem speaks in Orlando earlier this year.

Incumbent Gov. Kristi Noem will win the South Dakota Republican nomination for governor, CNN projects.

Noem fended off a primary challenge from state Rep. Steve Haugaard. She is seeking a second term leading a red state that backed former President Donald Trump by 26 points in 2020.

Noem, a forceful champion of Trump, has been talked about as a potential running mate for the former President if he were to run again in 2024 and is considered a potential 2024 presidential contender herself. She raised more than $800,000 ahead of the primary, according to campaign finance reports

She has been outspoken on a number of issues, including Covid-19 restrictions and gun rights. Earlier this year, she accused President Joe Biden in a speech of projecting weakness on the world stage, saying he had been “wrong on every major foreign policy decision that he has been part of for almost 50 years” and charging that his leadership style has emboldened leaders such as Russian President Vladimir Putin. 

Though she has risen to the national spotlight, in South Dakota, Noem’s ambitions have been clouded by the controversy over a July 2020 meeting that she held with members of her staff, her daughter — who was applying to become a state-certified real estate appraiser at the time — and top state officials who oversaw that program.  

Noem also previously hired her daughter Kennedy Noem in 2018 as a policy analyst as Kennedy was graduating from college.

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