The US economy is chugging along, the labor market is holding its own and inflation has slowed to just above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
The dockworkers strike could muck up some of that progress, economists say.
Economic growth: Work stoppages at ports that handle nearly 35% of all US imports and exports could cause a drag of $4.5 billion to $7.5 billion on US Gross Domestic Product growth for each week they’re in effect, according to an Oxford Economics analysis released last week.
Jobs: The strike involves about 45,000 port workers, but the ripple effects in supporting industries could mean up to 105,000 workers could find themselves temporarily out of work if the strike is prolonged, according to the report.
Those job losses, coupled with the Boeing machinists’ strike and the effects of Hurricane Helene, could massively distort the October jobs report (released on November 1) at a time when the Fed is heavily scrutinizing employment data for signs of a weakening labor market, Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN Tuesday.
Still, the port workers strike isn’t expected to derail the economy, which is growing at a 3% clip, Joe Brusuelas, RSM US chief economist, wrote Tuesday.
“Because West Coast ports can absorb much of the redirected economic activity, the impact on the economy and inflation will be modest at best in the short term,” he wrote.