The number of people filing first-time unemployment insurance claims soared to its highest level since September 30, 2017. The probable culprit: The five-week government shutdown, which ended last Friday.
Initial jobless claims rose to a seasonally adjusted 253,000, up from a 49-year low of 200,000 the prior week. That’s well above the four-week moving average of 215,000 unemployment claims.
That’s potentially troubling news for the jobs report, which the Department of Labor will release tomorrow morning. Although furloughed workers will be counted as employed in that report, it’s still a mystery how many out-of-work government contractors will be considered unemployed.
Seasonal adjustments may have also thrown the initial claims number a bit off course, according to Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG.
“It looks that the seasonal factors are having trouble adjusting for the winter weather-related layoffs this time of year,” he said, noting the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday may have thrown the Labor Department’s calculations for loop.