May 14, 2023 Turkey election news | CNN

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May 14, 2023 Turkey election news

turkey election earthquake split
Many in Turkey are still reeling from the catastrophic earthquake. Hear what they say about the election
04:15 - Source: CNN

What we covered here

  • Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is facing the biggest challenge yet in his two decades in power after millions voted in a landmark election Sunday, with preliminary results indicating he may be forced into a runoff.
  • State-run Anadolu news agency’s latest figures show Erdogan’s lead under 50% and his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, over 44%. If neither wins a majority, they will go to a second vote — which would be a first for Erdogan.
  • Opposition leaders have rejected Anadolu’s figures, saying they are misleading, and Kilicdaroglu, chairman of the Republican People’s Party (CHP), has insisted he is ahead in the polls.
  • The presidential and parliamentary elections took place three months after an earthquake killed more than 50,000 people in southern Turkey. They also come amid a serious economic crisis and what analysts say is democratic erosion under Erdogan’s government.
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Our live coverage of Turkey’s election has ended for the evening. Read the latest here.

Turkey's fiercely fought election appears to be heading for a runoff. Here's what you need to know

Turkey’s presidential election appears to heading to a runoff vote as preliminary results showed neither President Recep Tayyip Erdogan nor his main rival looked to have secured the majority of votes need to win.

State-run Anadolu news agency reported projections based on 97.95% of the votes counted, showing Erdogan having 49.34% of votes, compared to 44.99% for the main opposition candidate, Kemal Kilicdaroglu.

Here’s the latest:

  • What Erdogan says: Speaking at the ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party headquarters in Ankara, the Turkish president claimed to be ahead in the voting. “We believe we will finish this round with over 50% of the votes,” he said. The strongman leader is facing the biggest challenge yet in his two decades in power as he faces economic headwinds and criticism that the impact of the devastating Feb. 6 earthquake was made worse by lax building controls and a shambolic rescue effort.
  • What Kilicdaroglu says: The main opposition leader welcomed the prospect of a runoff vote. “If our nation says second round, we gladly accept it,” he said in a televised speech at his party’s headquarters early Monday. “We will absolutely win this election in the second round. Everyone will see that.” Kilicdaroglu earlier accused Erdogan’s AK Party of demanding recounts and delaying results in opposition strongholds, including in Ankara and Istanbul.
  • Potential kingmaker: The third presidential candidate, Sinan Ogan, an ultra-nationalist allied with Erdogan, took to Twitter on Sunday night to cast doubt over overseas votes and warn the election council to prevent “manipulation.” Ogan, who according to preliminary results has about 5% of the vote, could be a kingmaker if the election goes to a runoff. Ogan said a second vote is “quite possible,” and that “Turkish nationalists and Ataturkists are in a key position for this election.”
  • Opposition claims: Earlier on Sunday, Ankara Mayor Mansur Yavas, who is the vice-presidential candidate for the main opposition Nation Alliance bloc, contested Anadolu’s results, saying the agency is unreliable. He added that the opposition’s data showed Kilicdaroglu as being ahead of Erdogan.
  • What happens next: Ballots of the 64 million eligible to vote are still being counted hours after polling stations closed across the country. A candidate must win over 50% of the vote in order to be elected — otherwise, Turkey will head to a run-off on May 28.

Opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu says he would welcome a runoff vote

Turkey’s opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu said he would welcome a runoff election, as the preliminary results of Sunday’s vote showed neither he nor President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had yet received the majority needed to win.

If no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote, they will go to a runoff — which would be a first for Erdogan.

“If the nation wants the second round, then it is welcome by us,” Kilicdaroglu said during a televised speech at his party’s headquarters early Monday morning.
“The process has been maintained in democratic maturity. It is an additional source of happiness despite Erdogan’s allegations and insults, he hasn’t got the result he wanted.”

Erdogan leads with 49.49% of the vote, with Kilicdaroglu on 44.79% after 91.93% of ballots were counted, the head of Turkey’s Supreme Election Council said early Monday.

But Kilicdaroglu remained upbeat about his chances of winning.

Supreme Election Council chief says Erdogan leads rival with nearly 92% of votes counted 

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is leading the polls with 91.93% of the votes counted so far, the head of Turkey’s Supreme Election Council said early Monday.

In a televised speech, council chief Ahmet Yener said Erdogan had received 49.49% of the vote, while his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, received 44.79%.

The third presidential candidate, Sinan Ogan, an ultra-nationalist allied with Erdogan, has received 5.29%, Yener said.

Votes are still being counted, Yener emphasized.

If no candidate wins a majority, they will go to a second vote — which would be a first for Erdogan.

Erdogan suggests his lead will increase as potential runoff looms

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan claimed that his lead in the polls will “increase even more” as the final votes are tallied.

“We are already ahead of our closest competitor by 2.6 million votes. I believe that this difference will increase even more with the final results,” he told supporters at AK Party headquarters in Ankara.

Erdogan is facing the biggest challenge yet in his two decades in power after millions voted in a landmark election Sunday, with preliminary results indicating he may be forced into a runoff.

State-run Anadolu news agency’s latest figures show Erdogan’s lead at 49.52% and his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, at 44.76%, with 95% of the vote counted. If neither wins a majority, they will go to a second vote — which would be a first for Erdogan.

Erdogan said early Monday they don’t know yet “if the presidential election is over in the first round” but said he remained confident about avoiding a runoff.

Erdogan tells supporters "exact results are not clear yet but we are ahead" 

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan claimed early Monday to be leading the vote “by a wide margin” even as preliminary results indicated he may be forced into a runoff.

“Our country has completed another feast of democracy with the 14th of May elections. Although the exact results are not clear yet, we are ahead,” Erdogan told supporters at AK Party headquarters in Ankara.
“We know that we are leading by a wide margin, but we don’t know officially what the exact result is because we haven’t received it yet,” Erdogan added. “And we are waiting for the embodiment of the national will.”

State-run Anadolu news agency’s latest figures show Erdogan’s lead at 49.52% and his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, at 44.76%, with 95% of the vote counted. If neither wins a majority, they will go to a second vote — which would be a first for Erdogan.

Third presidential candidate casts doubt over overseas vote

The third presidential candidate, Sinan Ogan, an ultra-nationalist allied with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, took to Twitter on Sunday night to cast doubt over overseas votes and warn the election council to prevent “manipulation.”

Ogan, who according to preliminary results currently has about 5% of the vote, could be a kingmaker if the election goes to a runoff.

“We have heard that some manipulations were carried out in the overseas vote-counting processes. Vote counting is not done in a healthy environment. I warn the YSK [Supreme Election Council]. Take the necessary measures immediately and ensure that the vote-counting processes are carried out quickly. In addition, we will not allow a fait accompli with the manipulation of foreign votes. Do not stress the environment. This is up to the second round,” he said.

Preliminary results indicate Erdogan may be forced into runoff

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is fighting for his political survival, as preliminary results indicate he may be forced into a runoff.

State-run Anadolu news agency’s latest figures show Erdogan’s lead at 49.52% and his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, at 44.76%, with 95% of the vote counted. If neither wins a majority, they will go to a second vote – which would be a first for Erdogan.

The third presidential candidate, Sinan Ogan, an ultra-nationalist allied with Erdogan, currently has 5.28% of the vote, according to Anadolu. This could make him a potential kingmaker in the runoff.

87% of vote counted, election council says

The head of Turkey’s Supreme Election Council has just announced 87.13% of the votes have been counted, adding that there have been delays tallying the votes cast abroad.

“I would also like to clarify the criticism which has been voiced in the public that foreign votes are counted late. Considering the increase in the number of voters who cast their votes abroad in 2023, according to 2018 data, and the number of parties participating in the 2018 election is 8, and 24 in 2023, it is seen that the delay in the counting of foreign votes is normal. There is no problem in entering the votes in the district election boards.”

Crowds outside Ankara AK Party headquarters await Erdogan

President Recep Tayyip ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party has tweeted a video showing scenes of crowds outside their headquarters in Turkey’s capital Ankara with the caption: “The balcony is ready. The nation is waiting for its leader.”

Erdogan is expected to make a speech there shortly.

Kilicdaroglu claims Erdogan's camp is demanding recounts and delaying results in opposition strongholds

Opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu accused President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party of demanding recounts and delaying results in opposition strongholds, including in Ankara and Istanbul.

“My dear nation, they are blocking the system with repeated objections at ballots where we have higher votes. For example, there are persistent objections at 300 ballots in Ankara and 783 ballots in Istanbul. There is a ballot with six, and another with 11 objections,” he told reporters in a statement at his party headquarters in Ankara.

Kilicdaroglu called on Erdogan to stop dealing in “perception management,” adding that the opposition will not allow the vote to be a “fait accompli.”

“This is a serious matter. Let the votes come in and the result to be known as soon as possible. The country can no longer tolerate uncertainty. Do not be afraid of the nation’s will,” he said.

He also urged election officials to act responsibly, and not let the process be stalled.

“I repeat: Do not block this nation’s will. I would like to call on the democracy workers in the field. Do not leave the ballots and election councils. We are here until every vote has been counted,” he said.

Mayor of Ankara says he expects Kilicdaroglu to finish ahead of Erdogan

The opposition mayor of Ankara, Mansur Yavas, has said he expects Kemal Kilicdaroglu to finish ahead of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

“According to our data, the ratio of officially signed ballot reports is at 69.67%. Proportionally, Kemal Kilicdaroglu’s vote is 47.7% and Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s vote is at 45.8%,” Yavas, a senior member of Kilicdaroglu’s opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), told a news conference in the party headquarters in Ankara. “We will wait for the result, it is our duty to seek justice for even one vote.”

Yavas will serve as vice president if Kilicdaroglu’s six-party Nation Alliance wins.

Turkey’s electoral council, which will announce the final vote, has said that 71.64% of ballots have been counted in the country, and 18.67% from those who voted abroad. The council’s chairman, Ahmet Yener, said there was “no disruption or delay at the moment.”

Music stops and mood darkens at AK Party headquarters

The music came to an abrupt halt at a rally outside the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) headquarters in Istanbul on Sunday evening, as soon as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s tally slipped below the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff.

AK Party supporters pointed at the screen displaying the preliminary results reported by state-run Anadolu news agency. A hushed silence fell over the crowd that just hours earlier was jubilant over early reports that showed Erdogan with a comfortable lead.

Still the mood was defiant. “We’re come back with even more strength in the second round,” said Nuray Ekici, a 31-year-old teacher. “We will never abandon him.”

Another man, Ismail Boyaci, 53, said, “Our mood may have changed but Erdogan’s leadership won’t change. We will continue to stand upright.”

Head of Turkey's Supreme Election Council: "No disruption or delay in data entry"

Ahmet Yener, chairman of Turkey’s Supreme Election Council, which will announce the final figures, has said that it has so far entered just over 47% of domestic votes cast in the election and 12.6% of votes from abroad into its system.

During a statement outside the council’s headquarters he also rejected allegations from the opposition that it was delaying publishing results.

“The results coming from polling stations are sent to District Election Councils and from there to Provincial Election Councils. This is how the data is entered into the system,” he added.

That could mean there is still some time before we get an official result.

State news agency reports Erdogan's tally slipping below 50%

The gap between the two leading presidential candidates is continuing to narrow as more votes from Turkey’s big cities – which tend to favor opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu – pour in.

State news agency Anadolu is reporting that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s vote has dropped to 49.86% – below the 50% needed to avoid a runoff – ahead of Kilicdaroglu’s 44.38%, with 90% of votes counted.

As the numbers shifted on screens at the AK Party headquarters in Istanbul, the music stopped and the mood darkened.

Soli Ozel, professor of international relations at Kadir Has University in Istanbul, said the race looked likely to go to a runoff

“Over 60% Turkey’s population live in 11 cities. 20% – thereabouts 18 to 19% of Turkey’s population live in Istanbul. Istanbul is a very contested city which the opposition actually won back in 2019,” Ozel told CNN.

“So, we are in the clouds, if you will. But it does look, like I must say, that we will have to go to a second round in the presidential since the parliamentary election is a one-round election.”

Kilicdaroglu says Erdogan's vote share has dropped below 50%

Opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu has posted a tweet suggesting that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s vote share, which started the night at 60%, has now dropped to below 50%.

He urged the country’s electoral board, the Supreme Election Council, to stay alert and stick by their posts to provide data entry throughout the evening.

“The fiction which started at 60 percent has now dropped below 50. Ballot observers and election board officials should never leave their places. We will not sleep tonight, my people. I warn the Supreme Election Council, you have to provide data entry in the provinces,” he said. 

Erdogan asks supporters to stay at ballot boxes until results finalized

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan asked his supporters on Sunday “to stay at the ballot boxes, no matter what until the results are officially finalized.”

“The fact that the 14 May elections took place in the form of a great feast of democracy with peace and quiet is an expression of the democratic maturity of our Turkey,” Erdogan said on Twitter.

“I congratulate all my citizens who voted in the name of democracy and took part in the election work, and I express my gratitude to each and every one of them,” he added. 

Third presidential candidate says "high probability" of runoff

The third presidential candidate, Sinan Ogan, an ultra-nationalist who was polling in the single digits, said on Sunday night that he believed the race was likely to go to a runoff.

“Turkish nationalists and Kemalists are the key to this election,” he said. “Those who attacked us in the last two days after Muharrem Ince was forced out of the elections with various pressures, accused us unjustly and attempted to lynch us should have a lot of lessons to be learned from this political picture!” Ogan was referring to Muharrem Ince, who pulled out of the race on Thursday after what he called a “slander campaign” against him.

With about 85% of ballots counted, Ogan, who is an ally of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, had only about 5% of the vote, according to preliminary results reported by state-run news agency Anadolu. That support could make Ogan a potential kingmaker in the runoff.

Mixed emotions among Erdogan supporters gathered at AK Party headquarters

There were mixed emotions in the crowd gathered outside the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) headquarters in Istanbul, with some Erdogan supporters fearful he might lose, while others were certain he would prevail.

She threw up the four-finger “Rabaa” salute, closely associated with Erdogan. The president originally used the gesture in a show of solidarity with followers of Egypt’s deposed Islamist President Mohamed Morsy in 2013, after security forces crushed protest camps of his Muslim Brotherhood supporters in a square near Cairo’s Rabaa al-Adawiya mosque. Turkey became one of the fiercest critics of the violence, which left hundreds dead. “Rabaa” means “four” or “the fourth” in Arabic.

“I am afraid. I am worried about him losing. I am worried that someone else will win. I worry because we are Muslims and we wish for someone Muslim to to be our president,” said Seda Yavuz.

“I trust the Turkish people. I trust that he is going to win,” Gozde Demirci said. Pointing to her headscarf, she added: “This is freedom. I have this freedom because of him (Erdogan). They (opposition) don’t want this. They don’t want freedom.”

Election "still too early to call," analysts say

As votes continue being counted for Turkey’s presidential and parliamentary elections, analysts say it’s still early to call.

“I think it is still too early to call,” the Managing Director of the Istanbul Research Center, Can Selcuki, told CNN. 

“We are in a strange situation because there isn’t just enough data. Anadolu news agency, the official agency that has the monopoly over the official results, basically, seems to have stopped at some point … It is looking like a war of nerves at this point,” Selcuki added.

Asli Aydintasbas, a Turkish policy expert and fellow at the Brookings Institution, cast doubt on the opposition sealing the election on Sunday. 

Preliminary results show presidential race is narrowing, according to Anadolu

The gap between President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, is narrowing, according to preliminary results.

With 80.48% of votes counted, Erdogan’s lead has dropped slightly to 50.43%, ahead of Kilicdaroglu’s 43.77%, according to state-run Anadolu news agency.

A reminder of how Turkey’s elections work: The candidate who receives more than 50% of votes in the first round is elected president, but if no candidate gets a majority vote, the election goes to a second round between the two candidates who received the highest number of votes in the first round.

Opposition bloc say preliminary results show Kilicdaroglu in slight lead over Erdogan

The Nation Alliance bloc has said preliminary results show Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who represents the coalition of six opposition parties, is ahead of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Mansur Yavas, the mayor of Ankara and an opposition vice presidential candidate, said that early election results show opposition party leader Kilicdaroglu has received 47.42% of the vote, ahead of Erdogan’s 46.80%, with 91,913 out of 192,169 ballots counted

“I am reporting the clear results that have come to us,” he said at the opposition headquarters in Ankara.

This is a referendum on Erdogan, on change, experts say

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is facing a majority of the country that wants change, but it is still an open question as to whether voters see his main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, as the agent of that change, experts say.

“There was a lot of discussion in this country about who the opposition candidate should be. In a sense, the opposition put forward … a little bit of a risky name, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, because he was older and he wasn’t polling the highest, compared to the mayors of Ankara and Istanbul. But he positioned himself as a uniter, some type of figure that could be a transition candidate.”

Aydintasbas added that voter turnout was high, and results were likely to continue to change over the next few hours.

Can Selcuki, managing director of Istanbul Economics Research, a polling company, described the election as a referendum on Erdogan, and on change.

“The democracy has been reduced to the ballot box. That’s the only place where the populous can manifest their preference in one way or another, so, since that is the case, they go out and vote,” Selcuki said, adding that voters are fed up with double-digit inflation and bad governance.

Erdogan ahead with half of votes counted, Anadolu reports

Early results reported by Turkey’s state-run Anadolu news agency showed President Recep Tayyip Erdogan still ahead of rival Kemal Kilicdaroglu, with 51.03% of the votes counted.

Anadolu reported that Erdogan had received 52.03% of the vote to Kilicdaroglu’s 42.11% and Ogan’s 5.33%.

Opposition figures say state news agency is unreliable and claim Kilicdaroglu is in the lead

Opposition figures have suggested that Turkey’s state news agency Anadolu is unreliable and might be reporting preliminary numbers that are in favor of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Speaking during a news conference in Ankara, Mansur Yavas, mayor of the capital and an opposition vice presidential candidate, said: “Anadolu Agency no longer fulfils its function. According to the data we have, the rate of ballot boxes opened is 23.87%. Kemal Kilicdaroglu is currently in the lead. Trust us, believe us.”

Yavas appeared alongside Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, also an opposition vice presidential candidate, who said that Anadolu’s reputation was “below zero” and that the preliminary results were unreflective of the state of the race.

“In 2018, in the election in which Mr. Erdogan was elected president, it started with 67% and ended with 52%. In 2019, they can’t afford it, they started high again, but it closed at a lower rate. When we look at these rates, we can easily say that Mr. Kilicdaroglu will be declared the president this evening, we believe in this,” Imamoglu said.

In Istanbul, a battle for the soul of the Turkish nation 

The mood on the ground in Istanbul, a metropolis of about 15 million people straddling two continents, has been one of tense anticipation. 

Queues snaked into schools and orphanages that doubled up as polling stations. Young and old poured in, as did the disabled who were sometimes carried up several flights. The ill were shuttled in by ambulances, arriving at voting booths on stretchers. 

“For this election, I traveled nearly 10,000 miles from San Francisco,” said 78-year-old Turkish-American Habibe Husain. It was the first time Husain voted in a Turkish election. 

Voters spoke of the fate of their country hanging in the balance. Turkey’s strongman leader, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is battling for a historic third term while facing economic headwinds and criticism over the February 6 earthquake, which was made worse by lax building controls and an initial shambolic rescue effort.  

His critics depict the race as a last stand for democracy. Erdogan has hollowed out democratic institutions, they argue, eroding the independence of the judiciary and introducing draconian measures against dissent.  

Erdogan’s largely conservative base argues that only the current president can fix the shambles left in the wake of the country’s economic crisis and disastrous earthquake. 

“I trust Tayyip Erdogan. That’s why I’ve always voted him and always will,” said Riza Saraciya, 46. “He does everything he says he’s going to do.”  

For others, this is more than an election. It’s a battle for the soul of the nation. “I’d rather go hungry than lose my freedom,” said 70-year-old Mostafa Kocagil. “I want justice and freedom. That’s why I’m voting.” 

One woman said the earthquake was the final straw, that Erdogan’s rule had affected “everything she touched.” Yelez Sahin lost her brother and son at a luxury apartment building that collapsed in Hatay, Turkey’s southernmost province. “It’s the system that needs to change,” she said. 

Kilicdaroglu dismisses early results, says: "We're ahead"

Preliminary results reported by state-run Anadolu news agency showed President Recep Tayyip Erdogan leading Kemal Kilicdaroglu, but opposition leaders have dismissed those figures.

About 40% of the votes in the presidential race have been counted so far.

Anadolu was reporting preliminary results that showed Erdogan with 52.70%, ahead of Kilicdaroglu, the head of the Republican People’s Party (CHP) and presidential nominee for the six-party Nation Alliance bloc, with 41.39%.

Kilicdaroglu said “we’re ahead” in a post on Twitter, his first comment since preliminary results were released. CHP also took to Twitter, sharing Kilicdaroglu’s tweet and commenting: “We are currently in the lead.”

Celebratory scenes outside Erdogan's AK Party headquarters

There were celebratory scenes outside the headquarters for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AK Party) in Istanbul on Sunday evening as preliminary results started to pour in.

A group of men outside the AK Party headquarters were banging drums and playing music in the street. One made a hand gesture for the Turkish far-right nationalist group the Grey Wolves as cars drove past.

Turkey's main opposition party says early data is positive

Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) said that early data was positive, and that it would begin to share figures once the proportion of the vote counted was higher.

In polarized Turkey, not even an earthquake can shake deep ideological divisions

Bedi Değirmenci has taken his first breaths of fresh air since a monster earthquake struck southeast Turkey three months ago.

For three days, the 36-year-old lay trapped under the rubble of his home in Hatay. Then he was hospitalized for traumas to the head and spine, and discharged only on Wednesday, just days before the country’s historic May 14 presidential and parliamentary elections.

Deep gashes frame the right side of Bedi’s face and he now walks with a permanent limp. When he reunites with the few relatives who survived the quake, the air fills with a crescendo of sobs — the grief of bereavement infused with relief over Bedi’s recovery. 

The earthquake killed Bedi’s wife, his parents-in-law, his two daughters and their cousin. The children were 4, 5 and 6 years old. Two other children from the wider family also lost their lives.

For his tragedy, Bedi blames the government and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who is battling for a third term, buffeted by economic headwinds and criticism that the impact of the February 6 earthquake was made worse by lax building controls and a shambolic rescue effort.  

The earthquake claimed more than 50,000 lives in Turkey and neighboring Syria, and displaced more than 6 million people. The state’s emergency workers were all but absent in many parts of the disaster area during the first few days that followed. 

For three days, Bedi’s relative —Caner Değirmenci — sledgehammered a path to the destroyed family home in Hatay. Just over 72 hours later, he and the Italian rescue team, Vigili del Fuoco, rescued Bedi and recovered the lifeless bodies of his wife and two daughters.  

“For the first 48 hours under the rubble, my daughter Talya was alive. We were talking together constantly,” says Bedi. “Then suddenly, she stopped speaking.    

“What happened was not a disaster. It was murder.”  

The day after the earthquake, Erdogan berated critics of the government’s botched earthquake response. Days later, the government admitted that the rescue effort had fallen short and issued a public apology.

Criticism of the government soon became dominated by the issue of building standards, which have been relaxed since Erdogan and the ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party took power. In the weeks after the quake, the government rounded up dozens of contractors, construction inspectors and project managers for violating construction rules.

Critics dismissed the arrests as scapegoating. Relaxed building regulations were at the heart of the construction boom that turbocharged Erdogan’s 20-year rule, they argued, and the aftermath of the earthquake serves as an indictment of the country’s strongman leader.

Yet in the Erdogan strongholds that pepper the earthquake zone of southeast Turkey, those criticisms may have largely fallen on deaf ears.

“This is the most tense moment I have seen in Turkish society,” said Asli Aydıntaşbaş, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution. ”(The elections) are going to be about the future direction of the country and two radically different visions of where Turkey will go. And the opposition is galvanized.”  

For Aydıntaşbaş, the earthquake may have entrenched those deep divisions. Opposition-leaning communities are angrier than ever at Erdogan, while his support base has embraced the ruling party’s main talking point: mistakes were made at the beginning and now only Erdogan can rebuild what was destroyed. 

“More than anything else, the earthquake consolidates the two sides,” said Aydıntaşbaş.  

Read the full story:

A dress at an unmarked grave in Narlıca cemetery, in the earthquake zone in Turkey.

Related article In polarized Turkey, not even an earthquake can shake deep ideological divisions | CNN

Turkey's main opposition candidate accused Russia of election interference

Turkey’s main presidential opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu on Friday accused Russia of interfering in the country’s ongoing presidency election campaigns. 

Kilicdaroglu, who is the head of the Republican People’s party (CHP), and is current president’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s main rival, addressed Russia in the tweet saying “we are still in favor of cooperation and friendship.”

The Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov rejected the accusation in a Friday briefing, calling those who spread such rumors “liars.”

“Russia does not interfere in the internal affairs and electoral processes of other countries,” Peskov said. 

“We place great value on our bilateral relations with the Turkish side, because the Republic of Turkey has so far taken a very responsible sovereign and well-thought-out position on a whole range of regional and global problems that we are facing. And this position is very appealing to us,” he added.

Some background: Turkey, a NATO member that has the alliance’s second-largest army, has strengthened its ties with Russia, and in 2019 even bought weapons from it in defiance of the US. Erdogan has raised eyebrows in the West by continuing to maintain close ties with Russia as it continues its Ukraine onslaught, and has caused a headache for NATO’s expansion plans by stalling the membership of Finland and Sweden.

When the US Ambassador to Ankara Jeff Flake paid a visit in March to Kilicdaroglu Erdogan lashed out against him, calling the US diplomat’s visit a “shame,” and warning that Turkey needs to “teach the US a lesson in this election.”

Analysts have said that even if Erdogan is ousted in the polls, a foreign policy u-turn for Turkey is not a given. While figures close to the opposition have indicated that if victorious, it would reorient Turkey back to the West, others say core foreign policy issues are likely to remain unchanged.

Turkey has, however, also been useful to its Western allies under Erdogan. Last year Ankara helped mediate a landmark grains export deal between Ukraine and Russia, and even provided Ukraine with drones that played a part in countering Russian attacks.

Turkish news media begins to report preliminary results in presidential race

Turkish news media have begun reporting preliminary results in the presidential race, after the country’s Supreme Election Council, or electoral board, lifted reporting restrictions. Only a small proportion of the results are in so far – 10.86%.

State-run news agency agency Anadolu reported early projections that showed President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was ahead with 58.34% of votes, compared to 35.84% for the main opposition candidate, Kemal Kilicdaroglu.

Sinan Ogan has so far received 5.21% votes, according to Anadolu. 

Votes are still being counted two hours after polling stations closed across the country.

Turkey's Supreme Election Council lifts reporting restrictions

Turkey’s Head of the High Electoral Council Ahmet Yener announced the lifting of the reporting restrictions for elections during a televised speech on Sunday.

Yener said, “Regarding the broadcast ban you have been waiting for, we have lifted the broadcast ban as of 18.30 local time (11:30 am ET). There is data coming from different channels to the members of the press, but we announce that the whole public waits for the High Electoral Council to announce the provisional results.”

Preliminary results are expected on Sunday at 9 p.m. local time (2 p.m. ET).

When announcing the conclusion of the voting period earlier on Sunday, the council said there had been “no negative situations” so far, state news agency Anadolu reported.

The two main candidates are keen to to make sure that every vote is counted.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan tweeted after voting closed that “it’s time to hold tight to the ballot boxes.”

Opposition coalition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu similarly asked election officials, “Never leave the ballot boxes, no matter what, until the last signed ballot box report is delivered.”

What happens if Erdogan loses?

Some analysts say that if Erdogan loses the vote by a small margin, it opens up the possibility for him to contest the results.

And if past experience is a gauge, then the president and his AK Party may not take a defeat lying down.

During the 2019 Istanbul and Ankara mayoral election, the AK Party lost control of the country’s financial hub and capital, prompting party officials from both cities to reject the results, citing voter irregularities.

The Republican People’s Party’s (CHP) lead in Istanbul was a particularly narrow one, and eventually led to the Supreme Electoral Council (YSK) ruling in favor of a re-run that the opposition strongly objected to.

CHP Istanbul mayor candidate Ekrem Imamoglu then went on to win the election re-run, dealing a blow to Erdogan.

Ulgen cast doubt on the YSK’s independence, saying it may give in to potential demands for a recount. The body will be the ultimate arbiter of the race, he said.

2023 report by Freedom House said that the judges of the YSK, who oversee all voting procedures, “are appointed by AKP-dominated judicial bodies and often defer to the AKP in their decisions.” The AK Party’s “institutional dominance” in the media and other branches of society also “tilts the electoral playing field” in Erdogan’s favor, the Washington DC-based advocacy group said.

"Never leave the ballot boxes," Turkey's opposition leader Kilicdaroglu tells election officials

Turkey’s opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu asked election officials on his Twitter account not to leave the ballot boxes until the last signed ballot was delivered on Sunday.  

Kilicdaroglu wrote, “I want to call out to our heroes of democracy. Never leave the ballot boxes, no matter what, until the last signed ballot box report is delivered. The full and correct manifestation of the will of the people depends on your determination. You will see, it will be worth your tiredness.”

Kilicdaroglu, as the representative of an election coalition of six opposition parties, is looking to put an end to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s 20-year rule.

After voting in Ankara, he said: “We all missed democracy, being together and embracing so much. Hopefully, from now on you will see spring will come to this country and it will always continue.”

In a shift from the past, Kilicdaroglu’s campaign messages targeted Turkey’s middle class and the downtrodden, the very constituency that Erdogan has always championed.

Erdogan says he will "continue to protect the will" of Turkey until election results are finalized

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed gratitude for the democratic voting process on Sunday and said his government will “continue to protect the will” of Turkey until all the votes are counted.

“The voting process was completed in a way that befits our democracy, thank God. Now, as always, it’s time to hold tight to the ballot boxes. Until the results are final, we continue to protect the will of our nation!” he wrote on his official Twitter account.

Polls closed at 17:00 local time. The Turkish leader, who has held his post for 20 years, cast his ballot in Istanbul and told reporters, “We pray to God for a better future for our country, our nation, and Turkish democracy.”

His presidency has been rocked by criticism of his government’s handling of the earthquakes in February that claimed more than 51,000 lives in Turkey and neighboring Syria.

Erdogan’s main challenger is CHP leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who represents an election coalition of six opposition parties. This is the first time that Turkey’s factious opposition has coalesced around a single candidate.

Who is Kemal Kilicdaroglu, Erdogan's main rival?

Leader of Turkey’s secular and center-left Republican People’s Party (CHP), Kemal Kilicdaroglu (pronounced Ke-lich-dar-ou-loo) is widely seen as everything President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is not.

A lawmaker representing the CHP since 2002 – the same year that saw Erdogan’s AK Party rise to power – Kilicdaroglu, 74, climbed up the political ladder to become his party’s seventh chairman in 2010.

Born in the eastern, Kurdish-majority province of Tunceli, the party leader ran in Turkey’s 2011 general election but lost, coming second to Erdogan and his AK Party.

Kilicdaroglu represents the party formed 100 years ago by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, the founding father of modern Turkey and a die-hard secularist. He stands in stark contrast to Erdogan’s Islamist-rooted party and its conservative base.

Despite his secular leanings, however, the opposition candidate and his alliance have vowed to represent all factions of Turkish society, which analysts say was demonstrated in his diverse coalition.

Sometimes referred to as “Ghandhi Kemal” for both his physical resemblance to India’s Mahatma Ghandhi as well as his humble decorum, Kilicdaroglu is seen as Erdogan’s polar opposite, analysts say.

While both Kilicdaroglu and Erdogan hail from humble socio-economic backgrounds, “they evolved to be completely different creatures,” says Murat Somer, a political science professor at Koc University in Istanbul.

Symbolically, “Erdogan is the shopkeeper, Kilicdaroglu is the bureaucrat,” said Somer, referring to Erdogan’s businessman-like approach, as opposed to that of Kilicdaroglu, who Somer says is more committed to procedure.

“Kilicdaroglu will try to fight corruption and also bring past corruptions to justice,” he said.

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Turkey's main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu and his wife Selvi Kilicdaroglu pose to the media during a rally on May 21, 2022 in Istanbul, Turkey.

Related article Erdogan's 'polar opposite' wants to replace him as president of Turkey | CNN

Voters concerned about the state of the economy, damage caused by the quake

High in voters’ concerns is the state of the economy and the damage caused by the earthquake. Even before the February disaster, Turkey was struggling with rising prices and a currency crisis that in October saw inflation hit 85%.

That impacted the purchasing power of the public and is “fundamentally the reason why Erdogan’s popularity has been eroded,” said Sinan Ulgen, a former Turkish diplomat and chairman of Istanbul-based think-tank EDAM. “That is going to be the major handicap for Erdogan,” he added.

Voters also cast their ballots based on whom they see as more capable of managing the fallout from the earthquake, as well as shielding the country from future disasters, analysts say, adding that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s popularity had not taken the expected political impact.

Apart from the economy and the government’s management of Turkey’s frequent natural disasters, voters are likely concerned with Erdogan’s turn away from democracy – something the opposition has campaigned to reverse.

These are the three main contenders

The pool for this year’s presidential election narrowed to three candidates on Thursday, when Muharrem Ince pulled out of the race.

Apart from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kilicdaroglu, the leader of the Republican People’s Party (CHP), right-wing Ancestral Alliance candidate Sinan Ogan is also running.

“I am pulling out of this race. I am doing this for my country,” Ince said at a press conference in Ankara. He did not endorse any of the remaining candidates. His name will remain on the ballot.

Ince said he had withdrawn following a “slander campaign.” He has faced weeks of lurid allegations on social media in Turkey and the Ankara public prosecutor’s office said Thursday it had opened an investigation into potential blackmail.

The 59-year-old ran for president in 2018 but lost against Erdogan. In March this year, he broke away from Kilicdaroglu’s CHP and joined the presidential race. He initially rebuffed calls by his former party to pull out amid concern that he’d take votes away from Erdogan’s rival.

Ince’s withdrawal is a potential boost to Kilicdaroglu.

How Turkey’s elections work

Turkey holds elections every five years. Presidential candidates can be nominated by parties that have passed the 5% voter threshold in the last parliamentary election, or those who have gathered at least 100,000 signatures supporting their nomination.

The candidate who receives more than 50% of votes in the first round is elected president, but if no candidate gets a majority vote, the election goes into a second round between the two candidates who received the highest number of votes in the first round.

Parliamentary elections take place at the same time as the presidential elections. Turkey follows a system of proportional representation in parliament where the number of seats a party gets in the 600-seat legislature is directly proportional to the votes it wins.

Parties must obtain no less than 7% of votes – either on their own or in alliance with other parties – in order to enter parliament.

On Sunday, candidates cast their ballots for both elections at the same time. The second presidential ballot, if it takes place, will be held on May 28.

Polls opened at 8:00 a.m. local time (1 a.m. ET) and closed at 5 p.m. (10 a.m. ET). Results are expected after 9 p.m. (2 p.m. ET) local time.

Live coverage begins

Hello and welcome to our live coverage of a hugely significant election in Turkey, which could bring an end to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s 20-year rule.

We will bring you the results as they happen.